TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b05…6180

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$659.98
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+65%+$450.5
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+218.6%+$1,797.58
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$415
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$557
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,053.53
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$780
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,524.99
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.6
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$322.88
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$188.75
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$137
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$330
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$230
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$1,779.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$320.64
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$3,550
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,708Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,708
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,316
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+163.2%+$620
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+504%+$1,502
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$125
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+80.9%+$794.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$317.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.