Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581ea2e0e1b796f217f7d72e8517592c2f02de25139bb75b83c4580ffed339e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $991,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $991,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 4c | 119,801$5,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.86 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 4c | 70,239$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.27 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 1c | 27,333$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 16,155$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.92 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 6c | 15,727$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.87 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 12c | 13,278$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.61 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 1c | 13,217$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf109…0ed8backed Yes | 7c | 10,686$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed No | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 6c | 9,534$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 2c | 9,229$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636b…6915backed Yes | 5c | 8,646$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…6481backed Yes | 8c | 7,955$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d4…2b0dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,310$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 16c | 6,305$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…cb9ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 5,591$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3061backed Yes | 8c | 5,380$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…2ef2backed Yes | 1c | 5,249$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 5c | 5,120$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.39 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d41…9316backed Yes | 12c | 4,800$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,593$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe613…540ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,400$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…fcb2backed Yes | 20c | 3,980$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 10c | 3,925$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.26 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 4c | 3,843$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 2c | 3,664$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 76c | 3,571$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…4302backed No | 77c | 3,519$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 76c | 3,272$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.47 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…1f91backed Yes | 5c | 3,121$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 17c | 3,038$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.46 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 5c | 3,037$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.19 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…6fa7backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Yes | 4c | 2,906$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bdaebacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x887f…a4cbbacked Yes | 27c | 2,455$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…a73cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,427$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…c463backed Yes | 1c | 2,318$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 3c | 2,311$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 5c | 2,300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 9c | 2,279$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 2,127$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…e964backed Yes | 3c | 2,093$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 187 | 25.1%47 W · 140 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…603bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…3c87backed Yes | 23c | 2,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…f89dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 22c | 1,954$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…cb0ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,658$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 12c | 1,624$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…acb1backed Yes | 4c | 1,599$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…9245backed Yes | 5c | 1,591$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 4c | 1,524$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…351cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,450$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,351$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c3…759bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,339$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…e546backed Yes | 1c | 1,330$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c6…7fcbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,319$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 8c | 1,307$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4543…eb7ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,288$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…340dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,238$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…e896backed Yes | 6c | 1,216$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 23c | 1,200$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,179$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7a…d37ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…92ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,091$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…400abacked Yes | 1c | 1,090$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…f6efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,078$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…35aabacked Yes | 4c | 1,078$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9820…fdbbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,078$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8a52backed Yes | 4c | 1,078$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,073$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…966fbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…639ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…8ce5backed Yes | 4c | 960.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…a927backed Yes | 4c | 960.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…776ebacked No | 77c | 904.97$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…d240backed Yes | 4c | 857.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 17c | 855.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 2c | 834.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…e2abbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…d21ebacked Yes | 6c | 830.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…4f1ebacked Yes | 24c | 829.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…1a13backed Yes | 4c | 817.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 23c | 799.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?this page
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.