Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac9c6628a5398bb2a06f566854270a9fbc7f2badec4329d3b5fdc1407291c35b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,915,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,993,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,915,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 6,257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1490…b7e6backed No | 0c | 2,493,878$11,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,339.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 41c | 1,860,556$767,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767,450.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed No | 0c | 1,823,898$3,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 1,704,247$5,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.74 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked No | 0c | 1,674,140$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked No | 0c | 1,388,523$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.6 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60cf…425cbacked No | 0c | 1,265,692$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…9ffcbacked No | 1c | 1,172,311$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,376.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…81e9backed No | 0c | 1,114,788$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…a608backed No | 0c | 1,003,868$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…59d2backed No | 5c | 944,842$43,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,978 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed No | 0c | 916,020$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed No | 0c | 879,900$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 0c | 824,199$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 0c | 762,509$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.02 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…7076backed No | 0c | 738,540$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…6ec8backed No | 0c | 690,961$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 1c | 686,686$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.03 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…369abacked No | 1c | 664,953$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked No | 0c | 641,621$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d9…2531backed No | 0c | 620,257$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e4…a595backed No | 0c | 579,852$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 79c | 545,434$431,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,148.95 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…2f92backed No | 0c | 529,977$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 0c | 507,020$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 500,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…62c7backed No | 0c | 499,390$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…32d3backed No | 0c | 498,997$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…1924backed No | 0c | 457,196$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…3a7bbacked No | 0c | 402,298$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 3c | 361,963$10,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,824 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +440.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5730…5cffbacked No | 0c | 329,535$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed No | 0c | 306,018$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked No | 2c | 300,000$4,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…e027backed No | 0c | 296,721$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…5e39backed No | 0c | 295,245$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 73c | 269,569$195,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,783.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…ecf2backed No | 0c | 261,705$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…a110backed No | 0c | 258,662$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 5c | 255,986$12,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,775.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…4ed9backed No | 0c | 254,700$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…8a93backed No | 0c | 252,260$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ca…6354backed No | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b3ddbacked No | 0c | 250,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…0840backed No | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed No | 0c | 245,892$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…63b4backed No | 0c | 237,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…af0fbacked No | 41c | 229,536$93,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,093.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed No | 1c | 222,619$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…4de7backed No | 1c | 213,301$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked No | 4c | 209,363$7,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked No | 1c | 203,685$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…b72cbacked Yes | 73c | 196,524$144,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,460.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1a67backed No | 0c | 195,354$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…eccbbacked No | 0c | 194,718$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…f4e8backed No | 0c | 189,884$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc1…44e2backed No | 0c | 188,170$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…ab17backed No | 0c | 182,967$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…0494backed No | 0c | 180,900$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…4b78backed No | 0c | 175,419$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…f858backed No | 0c | 172,737$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…e389backed No | 0c | 171,653$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 79c | 170,370$134,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,245.6 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…c69ebacked No | 0c | 170,242$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed No | 0c | 168,420$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…b069backed No | 0c | 166,333$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…a35bbacked No | 0c | 165,400$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked Yes | 67c | 160,647$108,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,269.34 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -10.0wins | -0.40per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…c24cbacked No | 1c | 157,244$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…d481backed No | 2c | 157,130$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…3148backed No | 0c | 157,000$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbca…3b1ebacked No | 0c | 154,752$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…2788backed No | 7c | 151,040$10,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,625.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked No | 22c | 150,161$32,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,443.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…cbb7backed No | 0c | 148,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…78c9backed No | 0c | 145,437$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…dfcdbacked No | 1c | 145,000$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed No | 1c | 144,241$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.58 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…c788backed No | 1c | 142,833$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +275%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x082f…ce74backed No | 0c | 140,115$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 61c | 138,936$85,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,697.05 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 65c | 138,841$90,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,217.35 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed No | 0c | 136,470$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked No | 2c | 135,228$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf396…ea64backed No | 5c | 134,965$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,053.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab0…74a5backed No | 0c | 134,088$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…0bdfbacked No | 0c | 133,930$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…09fabacked No | 0c | 133,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…5baebacked No | 0c | 132,278$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…1314backed No | 0c | 127,703$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…1899backed No | 0c | 126,750$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…db43backed No | 9c | 124,854$11,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,788.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed Yes | 77c | 124,089$95,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,018.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked No | 0c | 123,902$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…b2febacked No | 0c | 123,330$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…8c4fbacked No | 6c | 123,235$8,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,001.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed No | 0c | 122,087$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed No | 1c | 118,935$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…1f6cbacked No | 2c | 117,194$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?this page
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?No won
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.