TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd54…3ffe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST3444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$123.7
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$105.3
Heat vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 125.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.9%+$27.88
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$168.98
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$179.46
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.24
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+83.5%+$68.72
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$239
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.8%+$213.9
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-11.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Vikings (-10.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Jets vs. Jaguarsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cardinals vs. Texansbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raiders vs. Eaglesbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$275
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$505
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80.52
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+189.4%+$1,239.46
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,185.07
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$155.81
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$489.66
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$691.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-77.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96.05
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+100.8%+$110.9
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+116%+$352.74
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$107.53
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$498.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$101.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.