Australian A League · resolved market
Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a4ff4e3f1f4ef560bb88dae41362152b60e70703646d5191305e373dfaa3e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 2,006$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.34 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 986$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.54 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 40c | 284.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked No | 43c | 230.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 216.23$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d292backed No | 52c | 176.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 170.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 61c | 163.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…eb92backed Yes | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 105$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…ee46backed Yes | 61c | 49.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 39c | 49.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 56c | 47.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 60c | 32.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…d4e6backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Macarthur FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.