Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe563b2e0d5eebe2e2378af24c0c7675d1ce2cc8c01cb43a426367594e2a9631f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 29c | 46,951$13,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,370.95 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 73c | 36,000$26,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,280 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 72c | 19,614$14,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,146.61 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 17,099$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,453.66 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 15,447$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,044.49 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 14,764$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,574.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 8,506$6,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,038 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 31c | 6,477$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,476.61 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 6,201$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.39 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 70c | 5,650$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.32 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.98 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 28c | 3,988$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.49 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 3,692$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.93 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 63c | 3,176$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.59 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 73c | 2,089$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.1 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 2,033$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 38c | 2,003$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.95 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…856fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,003$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +294.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 1,900$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.55 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,730$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.3 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 72c | 1,685$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.34 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 66c | 1,588$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.05 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…43cdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,564$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…3914backed No | 73c | 1,445$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad6…9e70backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 1,365$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…e0f7backed No | 73c | 1,301$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…3f91backed No | 73c | 1,274$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6b38backed No | 73c | 1,233$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,220$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.2 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 1,132$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.4 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 63c | 994.23$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 31c | 993.54$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.54 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 71c | 800$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 28c | 703.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.03 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 699.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.51 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked No | 72c | 659.99$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 29c | 627.3$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.84 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 64c | 625.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.67 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 600$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 72c | 575.73$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.53 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Yes | 37c | 537.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes | 29c | 530.76$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 67c | 512.8$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 72c | 499.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked No | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 444.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.49 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…4871backed Yes | 62c | 416.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 63c | 404.16$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.29 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 27c | 391.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 28c | 352.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 72c | 351.31$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.95 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 345.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…15edbacked Yes | 64c | 342.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 67c | 321$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 72c | 299.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 72c | 299.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.96 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 28c | 261.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…a914backed Yes | 28c | 244.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Yes | 60c | 241.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked No | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…bef4backed Yes | 31c | 221.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 37c | 216.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.93 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 28c | 208.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…9905backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.25 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…0c86backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…2b17backed Yes | 29c | 172.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 38c | 168.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.