TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06d5…0417

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
684
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Boxing, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT34050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 340 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+80%+$56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+302.5%+$57.78
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$28.31
Will Tyrese Maxey lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.41
Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$21.47
Showing 25 of 340 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT16142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 161 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.4
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$26.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$22.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 161 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Colombia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.51
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+57%+$5.7
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$81.21
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+300%+$120
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$63.33
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+150.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+401.5%+$80.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+509.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+509.8%+$66.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$49.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.