NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccff6e39e5d65af0ed832edc7317f4a9f8e1a4cf1af77a95b19372f22408dd69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 47c | 52,919$24,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,973.59 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Knicks | 54c | 32,541$17,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,623.47 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 50c | 14,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Knicks | 50c | 12,635$6,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.05 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Knicks | 54c | 12,013$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,430.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 49c | 11,438$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Knicks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 49c | 8,309$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.58 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1776…e557backed Knicks | 51c | 7,374$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Knicks | 55c | 7,000$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 51c | 6,811$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Thunder | 47c | 6,334$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.93 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…879cbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,104$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84a…fff3backed Thunder | 48c | 6,067$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Thunder | 48c | 5,779$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,004.99 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 47c | 5,173$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.57 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Knicks | 52c | 4,789$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.12 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 51c | 4,368$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Knicks | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Thunder | 51c | 3,597$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.09 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Knicks | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.98 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Knicks | 51c | 2,200$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.97 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Thunder | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.69 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8613backed Knicks | 50c | 2,051$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Thunder | 49c | 2,041$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.84 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…65a5backed Knicks | 50c | 2,036$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…c5f6backed Knicks | 52c | 2,035$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa129…4ac4backed Knicks | 52c | 2,021$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…f97dbacked Knicks | 50c | 2,017$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…7ff1backed Knicks | 52c | 2,011$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks | 51c | 1,944$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Thunder | 49c | 1,684$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.64 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 41c | 1,493$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.86 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,481$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,275$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.51 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Knicks | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 48c | 1,017$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Knicks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Knicks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Knicks | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Knicks | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks | 60c | 879.34$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.6 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Knicks | 51c | 876.86$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.2 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 49c | 867.24$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Thunder | 49c | 843.96$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.42 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 48c | 778.22$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.25 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Knicks | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Knicks | 52c | 647.22$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Knicks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 48c | 582.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 48c | 564.67$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.59 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Thunder | 39c | 554.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.54 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Knicks | 55c | 544.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Knicks | 61c | 503.56$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.17 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Knicks | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Knicks | 53c | 462.26$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 46c | 459.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Thunder | 53c | 453.05$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Thunder | 48c | 420.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Knicks | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Knicks | 48c | 418.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Knicks | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Thunder | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Thunder | 56c | 382.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 46c | 378.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Knicks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 50c | 363.34$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Thunder | 56c | 357.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 42c | 323.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.69 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Knicks | 53c | 313.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Thunder | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks | 61c | 287.13$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Thunder | 52c | 274.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 53c | 272.51$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Knicks | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 47c | 261$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Thunder | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Knicks | 52c | 246$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Thunder | 42c | 239.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Thunder | 47c | 237.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Knicks | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Thunder | 50c | 233$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 48c | 231.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Knicks | 65c | 231.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Knicks | 53c | 227.92$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 46c | 227.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Knicks | 49c | 224.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Thunder | 45c | 224.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Knicks | 59c | 219.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Thunder | 40c | 216.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. ThunderThunder won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.