TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68bf…3e67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
328
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$941Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$979.71
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.77
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.81
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.53
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.41
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$423.68
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.81
Suns vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$56.03
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$508.41
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.4
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.23
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$577.5
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$575
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$352.5
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$730
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$337.5
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$240
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$204.99
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$224.99
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT7852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$440.61
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.57
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.06
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$442.8
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.01
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$594
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.01
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$349.63
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$471.24
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.72
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.58
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$953.45
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$855
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.5
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$849.99
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$785
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$375
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT5349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$553.85
Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$86.37
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$806
Stars vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$584.85
Utah vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.8
Canadiens vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.99
Senators vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$623.15
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$360
Red Wings vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.2
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$214.22
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$680.34
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$530.92
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$855
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$387.54
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$930
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+46.3%+$19
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$397.5
Bruins vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$460
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$589.97
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50.22
Sharks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$371.25
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+105.5%+$333.45
Stars vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$416
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$370
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$117.73
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$89.3
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$259.99
Spread: Jaguars (-12.5)backed Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$675
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$245
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$337.5
Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$469.59
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$916.76
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.8%+$615
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$382.5
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$185.3
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$33.36
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$470
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$397.5
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.26
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$277.49
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+39.2%+$44.75
Steelers vs. Ravens: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$722.45
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.99
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.21
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492
Fonseca vs. Shelton: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$196.43
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$899.61
Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanovbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$67.64
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$735
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekicbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$738.05
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$499.94
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.97
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$698.52
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$445.63
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.25
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.03
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.99
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$989.94
Credit One Charleston Open: Eva Lys vs Katie Volynetsbacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$487.65
Adelaide International, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Anna Blinkovabacked Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$174.3
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$242.5
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$478.62
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$768
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$349.44
Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$430.1
Brown Bears vs. Penn Quakersbacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$190
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$121.89
Houston Cougars vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$140.54
Kansas Jayhawks vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$315
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$367.5
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$179.51
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$375
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+110.3%+$402
UIC Flames vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$657
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Delaware State Hornets: O/U 132.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+117.2%+$211.78
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$101.14
Iona Gaels vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+97.3%+$25.15
Longwood Lancers vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$92.72
All 18 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Looking for Org vs Perú Rejects (BO3)backed Perú Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$280
Dota 2: Heroic vs Perú Rejects (BO3)backed Perú Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+94.1%+$310.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$504.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$75.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.