TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Senators, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$875,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$866,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $875,967 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 655 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Senators62c242,760$150,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,938.2167051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers37c199,561$73,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,723.4422443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Senators63c100,000$63,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,00048545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers37c89,999$33,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,699.561,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Panthers37c85,000$31,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,55024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Panthers38c68,000$25,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,1608952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Senators63c61,449$38,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,712.8736748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Senators63c60,000$37,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,799.9916442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…47cebacked Senators63c50,000$31,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Panthers37c50,000$18,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,499.914650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Panthers50c23,173$11,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,586.6341850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Panthers40c18,591$7,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,230.021,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Senators63c18,286$11,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,519.956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Panthers37c13,500$4,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,504.9812950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Panthers40c11,580$4,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9486350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Senators4c11,110$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.834912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Panthers38c10,713$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,642.1685250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Senators59c10,117$6,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,003.4575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Senators61c10,001$6,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,118.0189249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Panthers38c8,457$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.2164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Senators63c7,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72525552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Panthers59c7,140$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.6230259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed Panthers38c6,601$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,089.573240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panthers37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.9927850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.9860249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.891,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Senators63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Panthers39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05011058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Panthers38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Senators63c4,761$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.4332151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Senators39c4,387$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.9727448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Senators43c4,275$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.182,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers38c4,200$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60443548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Senators56c4,175$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340.3933450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Senators63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5201855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Senators61c4,000$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Senators63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5202552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Panthers37c4,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.9726750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Senators15c3,986$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.92060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers38c3,769$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.6161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Senators3c3,617$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed Panthers38c3,606$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.722035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Senators7c3,601$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8633234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers37c3,500$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20527547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…810abacked Senators1c3,470$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers79c3,442$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.351,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Senators63c3,333$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.794139%16 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Senators29c3,310$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.242,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Panthers38c3,223$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.2679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Panthers38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86028447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Senators63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Panthers37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Senators14c2,978$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304330.2%13 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b35…5da2backed Senators17c2,725$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46222043.2%95 W · 125 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3265…34c3backed Senators63c2,700$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Senators63c2,698$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70027044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Panthers37c2,642$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.5121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Panthers38c2,630$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.614940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Senators63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57531848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…1013backed Senators3c2,480$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Senators42c2,464$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.1327739.4%109 W · 168 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Senators43c2,443$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.379442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Senators2c2,404$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.551,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Senators1c2,226$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.267737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…f6aabacked Senators63c2,222$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Senators6c2,200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Senators2c2,126$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3954418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Senators61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2203959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Senators61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2202958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Senators63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26011153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Senators62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Senators2c2,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3432451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Senators26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52015431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Panthers37c1,926$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.2120450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Senators40c1,863$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.8127037.4%101 W · 169 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Panthers37c1,800$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1345950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Panthers46c1,698$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.3840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Senators24c1,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Senators50c1,655$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.6519759.4%117 W · 80 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Senators62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff72…6146backed Senators2c1,600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Senators63c1,589$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.168845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x87fe…875bbacked Senators1c1,538$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Senators61c1,500$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9152770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Senators63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Panthers37c1,452$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.5738849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Senators62c1,419$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Panthers38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.796845.6%31 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Senators62c1,300$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8065349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf32f…b708backed Panthers71c1,258$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panthers79c1,202$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.341,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Senators3c1,179$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40270%0 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Senators2c1,178$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Panthers38c1,158$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.893050%15 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Panthers51c1,088$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7329448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Senators3c1,087$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1525635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ab…c40ebacked Panthers41c1,073$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.312259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3daf…0b0dbacked Panthers38c1,062$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d68…d42dbacked Senators63c1,058$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.