TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x635b…1013

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT4938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.68
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$19.52
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.26
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.58
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$27.56
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.52
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.96
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.38
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$88.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$41.63
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.95
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.38
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$57.24
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$25.2
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$12.4
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.72
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+62%+$21.57
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.56
Clippers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.29
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.4
Spurs vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$11.01
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+208.2%+$40.18
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.47
Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.86
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$22.76
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$11.8
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.05
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$44.45
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$51.53
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.47
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.48
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.12
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.39
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.42
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.78
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$10.08
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$7.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.08
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$45.23
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.85
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.64
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.48
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Blackhawks vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.51
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$32.88
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$26.92
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.17
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.6
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.76
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-2.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+107.7%+$108.46
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$52.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Toronto Tempobacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.68
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$72.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings - Who wins the toss?backed Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.