MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbacd0455c538df0546a61f4f73afd90f1ba6ef2302753f94c36baf12fd1e286b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Baltimore Orioles, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 45,440$28,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,477.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 30,281$13,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,957.15 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 23,577$8,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,677.12 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 22,930$8,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,491.8 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 21,000$11,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,759.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 20,302$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.9 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 16,352$11,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.41 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.82 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 4,907$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 4,763$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 3,987$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.89 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 3,683$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.41 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,273$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.76 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,000$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.96 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 2,833$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.26 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,766$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.21 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,605$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 2,577$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 2,175$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.5 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,078$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,019$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.48 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 1,918$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.97 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,662$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,583$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.17 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,426$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.88 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,325$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,298$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.82 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,205$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,145$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.88 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,090$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.4 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,040$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,036$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,000$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.72 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 995.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 976.24$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…d492backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 899.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…664bbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 807.12$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.06 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 801.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 674.19$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 657$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 628.31$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 597.69$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.71 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 585.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 576.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.94 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 572$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 564.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 555.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 540$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 68c | 511.29$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 494.34$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.81 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 483.51$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.95 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 482.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 464.51$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 439.82$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 431$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 398.39$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Nationals | 60c | 379.9$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…a941backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 378$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 347.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 339.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 321.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 320$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.7 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 296$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 273.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 273.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 272$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 250$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 249.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 236.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 234.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 233.26$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 227.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 224$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 222.26$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 210$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 201.67$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 198$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…364ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 195.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 193.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 192.86$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 189.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe93d…da91backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 185.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.