TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ade…ed94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,853
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1,458 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,081.88
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$104.29
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.26
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parrybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.83
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.09
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.82
Wimbledon WTA: Anastasia Gasanova vs Emiliana Arangobacked Anastasia Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.22
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardybacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Wimbledon WTA: Magda Linette vs Mirra Andreevabacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauffbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
Wimbledon WTA: Magdalena Frech vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.79
Wimbledon WTA: Lanlana Tararudee vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$47.83
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.26
Wimbledon WTA: Mimi Xu vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Mimi Xu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.33
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hannah Klugmanbacked Hannah Klugman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.29
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Wimbledon WTA: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$82.42
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.67
Showing 25 of 1,458 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT38444.3%170 W · 214 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 384 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$265.3
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$45.44
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$53.37
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.09
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$43.24
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.09
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.78
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.78
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$45.34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$37.26
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.46
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.46
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.6
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.11
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$20.13
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$39.22
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.37
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Showing 25 of 384 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-61%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$9,408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$3,479.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$3,780
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$15.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$704.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.