MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c656a9f361e5794a27aaf8e09aefd0df0132fe57d3cdd17cca6ae864152e600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $526,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $536,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $526,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 123,644$44,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,962.91 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 109,561$56,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,678.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 43,011$23,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,784.94 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 37,164$23,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,413.16 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 36,648$20,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,216.23 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 21,019$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,241.92 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 14,254$9,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,122.52 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 9,676$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…37a7backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 9,413$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,462.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 7,775$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,898.25 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 6,685$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 6,213$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.23 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 6,030$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Texas Rangers | 74c | 6,021$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.14 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 5,867$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 5,500$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,484$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.66 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 5,445$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.76 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 5,376$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.12 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 5,167$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 4,594$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.02 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 4,509$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.23 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 4,483$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.21 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 4,370$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.99 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 4,329$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 4,301$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.5 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 4,234$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 4,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 4,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.86 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 3,945$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.81 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 3,879$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.77 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,804$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 3,700$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 3,667$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 71c | 3,650$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Texas Rangers | 38c | 3,421$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.05 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 3,226$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.87 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 3,221$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,588$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.34 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 9c | 2,208$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 2,064$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.37 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.77 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,590$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 1,555$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 74c | 1,335$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,204$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,128$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 1,127$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 1,107$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 1,021$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.28 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 999.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.54 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 990.64$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.01 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 986.17$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 971.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 957.6$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 880.1$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.66 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93d…23d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 821.58$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.58 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 783.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 73c | 768.82$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 694.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 683.89$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 651.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 628.53$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.03 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 621.62$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Toronto Blue Jays | 4c | 620$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…3ca2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 564.06$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 36c | 537.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.11 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 537.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 523.45$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.83 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 520.83$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 519.44$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.79 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 518.19$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 508.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 503.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 486.8$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.55 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 485.63$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 453.11$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.46 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1a00backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 447.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 445.11$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texas Rangers | 68c | 406.91$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 404.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 402.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Texas Rangers | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 399.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers | 37c | 360$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 356.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 353.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 338.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 327.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 12.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.