TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaab5…fdc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
340
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT29241.4%121 W · 171 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 292 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.59
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$34.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Showing 25 of 292 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$129.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$79.3
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$158.6
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.53
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.43
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.05
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.74
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.05
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.83
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$127.25
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.29
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$134.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$520.45
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.52
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-84.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Istanbul: Guiomar Maristany vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Anouk Koevermans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Aix en Provence: Zizou Bergs vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.8
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Eliakim Coulibalybacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$136.8
Cagliari: Matteo Arnaldi vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.04
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.