TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof Detroit Tigers, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$584,201
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$581,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,201 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed San Francisco Giants44c193,181$85,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,181.3246949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Detroit Tigers56c124,545$69,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,745.450153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers44c107,691$47,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,505.151,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ca…c219backed San Francisco Giants44c45,455$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,454.83135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Detroit Tigers57c26,316$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Detroit Tigers1c26,252$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7625248.8%123 W · 129 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Francisco Giants43c25,050$10,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,278.7177053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Detroit Tigers56c23,211$12,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,997.9515451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants65c21,219$13,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,485.3510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants73c15,090$11,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085.7811,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers56c10,263$5,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,747.295,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Detroit Tigers18c8,539$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.969639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants68c6,432$4,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.774,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants74c5,982$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.051,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants68c5,970$4,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.492,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed San Francisco Giants55c5,928$3,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.5115851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Detroit Tigers5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015849.4%78 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Detroit Tigers9c4,700$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.86160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabd0…fe12backed Detroit Tigers38c4,678$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7832352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants61c4,239$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,659.444,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Detroit Tigers5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Detroit Tigers56c3,571$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Detroit Tigers55c3,550$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.628950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers40c3,498$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.6512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab61…fb2bbacked Detroit Tigers44c3,421$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.618647.7%41 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed San Francisco Giants72c3,408$2,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.6895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants44c3,343$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.876,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants45c3,330$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.4919534.4%67 W · 128 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants44c3,120$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.691,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e68…3772backed Detroit Tigers22c3,000$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65324947%117 W · 132 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb25…62edbacked Detroit Tigers14c2,898$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.494318.6%8 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Detroit Tigers57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers21c2,452$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.7379442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants74c2,419$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.648,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked San Francisco Giants45c2,244$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.6914841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers34c2,076$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.88,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1201,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked San Francisco Giants44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9817150.3%86 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked San Francisco Giants44c1,816$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.352,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Detroit Tigers38c1,797$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.3325851.9%134 W · 124 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants69c1,698$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.38,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants58c1,697$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.541,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed San Francisco Giants45c1,667$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.6789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Detroit Tigers12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18014050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Detroit Tigers2c1,366$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers20c1,305$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.479,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Detroit Tigers4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e61…4ccabacked Detroit Tigers53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6101…23bcbacked Detroit Tigers47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009335.5%33 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked San Francisco Giants44c1,007$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.9245445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Francisco Giants44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Detroit Tigers57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51320455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Detroit Tigers57c892.43$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.6956253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fae…8f07backed Detroit Tigers9c884.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.653145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Detroit Tigers57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Detroit Tigers56c850$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47616945%76 W · 93 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Detroit Tigers56c819$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6457758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants43c698.97$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.411,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Detroit Tigers57c674.31$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3612752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers56c674$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.441,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2515…16b9backed Detroit Tigers40c588.85$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.541450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Detroit Tigers57c566.67$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32332157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Detroit Tigers7c528.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Detroit Tigers57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008050%40 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x721e…3439backed Detroit Tigers56c526.31$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.733479.4%27 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+41.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7774…2b2cbacked San Francisco Giants44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2806448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Detroit Tigers57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked San Francisco Giants44c499.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9913848.6%67 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed San Francisco Giants44c454.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5320945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Detroit Tigers56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants62c438$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.444,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Giants73c380.72$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.124,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Detroit Tigers30c361.27$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3813225%33 W · 99 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Detroit Tigers38c352.89$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7448660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Detroit Tigers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Detroit Tigers57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021955.3%121 W · 98 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Detroit Tigers8c341.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2637941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Detroit Tigers35c330.23$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7185148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants44c330$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.81,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…2a14backed Detroit Tigers22c318.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ef…ff5ebacked Detroit Tigers57c315.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Detroit Tigers57c301.72$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.983855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16858652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Detroit Tigers17c293.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed Detroit Tigers4c289.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510634.9%37 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8b…37c8backed San Francisco Giants66c261.24$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.829570.5%67 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c42…eef8backed Detroit Tigers5c259.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc354…0386backed Detroit Tigers4c244.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Detroit Tigers53c233.17$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.581643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4214…4245backed Detroit Tigers52c223.08$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1169154.9%50 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed San Francisco Giants44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.21,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Detroit Tigers55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011354%61 W · 52 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants40c208.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.325,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed San Francisco Giants45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11013946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked San Francisco Giants44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11224246.7%113 W · 129 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants41c195$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6555658.1%323 W · 233 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Detroit Tigers10c195$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.