TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fae…8f07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: WNBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$511Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.02
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.65
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.1
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$113.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.99
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.63
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.49
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$94.86
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$10.35
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+183.6%+$325.14
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.78
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$122.37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.83
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.34
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$22.29
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 16.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$8.73
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$785.09
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+136.8%+$28.4
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
ITF Southaven: Annika Penickova vs Anne-Christine Lutkemeyerbacked Annika Penickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.61
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.85
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.77
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paulbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$176.85
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Coco Gauffbacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.93
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonsecabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.48
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osakabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.06
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$147.08
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.22
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+341.1%+$2,533.47
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$586.48
Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.97
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ben Sheltonbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,481.53
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+219%+$2,790.77
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.15
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$229.1
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squirebacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.81
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Marrerobacked Ivan Marrero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$40.98
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Alina Korneeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,592Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$1,132.68
Plovdiv 2: Adrian Andreev vs Petr Nesterovbacked Adrian Andreev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.94
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+195.9%+$56.08
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+149%+$132.43
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.95
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.87
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.36
LoL: Blue Otter vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.51
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.83
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Aeterna Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$6.8
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.23
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+966.8%+$1,230.27
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$49.69
All 15 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+83.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Sussex vs Worcestershirebacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.