TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa084…bb99backed Under47c22,686$10,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,662.4210748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,40085645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c16,925$7,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.8711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.8826054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over50c14,408$7,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,132.4515451.9%80 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c14,284$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,284.671,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over54c9,412$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c6,180$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1526,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under52c6,022$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.441,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0439047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9948952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under52c2,945$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.5973949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under52c2,945$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,531.5979255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c2,730$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.58,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.828166.7%54 W · 27 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under51c2,028$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.2816753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.995433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c1,999$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.091,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under55c1,727$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95011446.5%53 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62428753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62427952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec95…a2dcbacked Under52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51045445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under52c935.13$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.271,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under52c934.44$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.911,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c894.4$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.712,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under52c835.21$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.212,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under38c825.35$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.28,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under54c798$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.981,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under36c733.3$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.941,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under51c588.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011041.8%46 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under52c560.65$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over48c549.29$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.874,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25545252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c499$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.464,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.918741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over38c417.69$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.085,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c311.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.788,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under52c303.08$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.640447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Under57c286.09$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.075554.5%30 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Under57c270$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.94751.1%24 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over43c231.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.674,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over38c224.39$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.279,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over72c181.72$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over40c164.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9852638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under51c156$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.562,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under55c148.05$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4347358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under51c137.84$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.365549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c132$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.322,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under52c129.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1147852.3%250 W · 228 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c128.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.396,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under47c121.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.595,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Over57c117.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8315340.5%62 W · 91 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3517…5862backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558955.1%49 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under51c99.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9944245.5%201 W · 241 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under17c95.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2730934.3%106 W · 203 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over32c86.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7655758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.640446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under53c68.65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.456435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1133…def1backed Under51c67.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Under52c67.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under37c66.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.541,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6412752%66 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2273243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under52c60.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.344257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under51c56.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0713345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under41c55.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Under46c54.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1817148%82 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under55c49.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.451,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fae…8f07backed Over42c49.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.43145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9947652.9%252 W · 224 L+17.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c46.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5478854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6509…2dc5backed Over53c45.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under47c43.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over47c42.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.113756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under51c41.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0487750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88856.8%50 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e33…c5b9backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under47c34.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1831446.8%147 W · 167 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c32.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.862,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Under57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.134443.9%151 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Under51c29.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb561…5fd9backed Under67c28.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Over56c25.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3114336.4%52 W · 91 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.53,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under55c24.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7240658.4%237 W · 169 L+2.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Under55c24.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7255259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.495246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x209f…0eb4backed Under52c22.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over49c20.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6625851.9%134 W · 124 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under62c16.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.544045%18 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.