MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcbf8d73c7b756aa9619c2b77d5aba574718b70ce394d7e979f98be4c78355c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 47c | 22,686$10,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,662.42 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 16,925$7,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,794.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.88 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 50c | 14,408$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,132.45 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 14,284$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,284.67 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 9,412$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 6,180$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 52c | 6,022$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.44 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 52c | 2,945$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.59 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 52c | 2,945$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.59 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,730$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 51c | 2,028$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.28 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 1,999$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.09 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Under | 55c | 1,727$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 52c | 935.13$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 934.44$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.91 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 894.4$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.71 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 835.21$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.21 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 38c | 825.35$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 54c | 798$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.98 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 36c | 733.3$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.94 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 51c | 588.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 52c | 560.65$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 549.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 499$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.46 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 490$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 38c | 417.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 311.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 52c | 303.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 57c | 286.09$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.07 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Under | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 43c | 231.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 224.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 181.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 40c | 164.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 55c | 148.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 137.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 52c | 129.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 128.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 121.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 57c | 117.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 17c | 95.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 32c | 86.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 53c | 68.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1133…def1backed Under | 51c | 67.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Under | 52c | 67.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 37c | 66.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 51c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Under | 52c | 60.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 51c | 56.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 41c | 55.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 46c | 54.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 55c | 49.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Over | 42c | 49.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Over | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 43.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 51c | 41.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c5b9backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 47c | 34.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 32.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Under | 51c | 29.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb561…5fd9backed Under | 67c | 28.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 56c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 55c | 24.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 55c | 24.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Under | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 49c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Under | 62c | 16.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.