TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92f3…b21c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.77
Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$43.8
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.04
Lexington: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.8
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squirebacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$44.84
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.33
Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26.89
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Florent Baxbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.91
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.02
Plovdiv 2: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs George Lazarovbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.67
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.77
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.23
Lexington: Andres Martin vs Millen Hurrionbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.44
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$30.21
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Petr Brunclikbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.28
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.95
Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$72.61
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$66.97
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$58.02
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Alexandr Bindabacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.55
Lexington: Sebastian Gorzny vs Borna Gojobacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.39
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilaganbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.09
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.58
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.34
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$50.84
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$75.77
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.62
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.69
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$113.42
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.72
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.25
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.9
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.69
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$37.56
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.18
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$51.14
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.19
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$121.95
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$110.45
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$76.64
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.41
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.3
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.59
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.81
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.65
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$91.51
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95.63
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.47
Wycombe Wanderers FC vs. Stevenage FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$40.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Bochum vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.