TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Koki Matsudaof Paul Inchauspe, Koki Matsuda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32b4…8b21backed Koki Matsuda76c19,465$14,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,754.323,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf00…1199backed Paul Inchauspe42c16,945$7,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,167.186456.3%36 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Paul Inchauspe46c13,118$5,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,975.0314043.6%61 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Paul Inchauspe49c11,594$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,638.398,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Paul Inchauspe65c7,724$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Koki Matsuda33c7,007$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,69517148%82 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Koki Matsuda26c6,940$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.1936640.7%149 W · 217 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Koki Matsuda52c6,493$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.748,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…fc38backed Koki Matsuda78c3,074$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.285836.2%21 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Paul Inchauspe21c2,931$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.551,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Koki Matsuda41c2,581$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.8211257.1%64 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c0b…c814backed Paul Inchauspe80c2,538$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.7438459.9%230 W · 154 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Koki Matsuda33c2,265$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.933855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Koki Matsuda48c2,000$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.529,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Paul Inchauspe36c1,739$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.316,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Koki Matsuda80c1,453$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.612,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Koki Matsuda37c1,180$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.242,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Koki Matsuda45c1,142$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.774,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Paul Inchauspe61c1,136$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.5614450.7%73 W · 71 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…5cd6backed Koki Matsuda55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45018731%58 W · 129 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Paul Inchauspe54c977.3$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.443,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Koki Matsuda52c928.09$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9272147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Koki Matsuda55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0924452.5%128 W · 116 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Paul Inchauspe29c828.44$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7170254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Paul Inchauspe64c773.2$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.334,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Koki Matsuda66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.587459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa514…9c8fbacked Koki Matsuda66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5811760.7%71 W · 46 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paul Inchauspe19c649.93$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.574,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Koki Matsuda48c644.88$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2653644.8%240 W · 296 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Paul Inchauspe44c632.42$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2611047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Koki Matsuda56c632.42$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2614052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ed…69d8backed Koki Matsuda66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.061050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Koki Matsuda26c605$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5511141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Paul Inchauspe50c579.94$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.641,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Paul Inchauspe40c578.03$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.372,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Paul Inchauspe49c565.19$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6591051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Koki Matsuda72c558.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2522152%115 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Paul Inchauspe21c520.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7643054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Paul Inchauspe34c499.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Koki Matsuda55c486.9$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.712,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked Paul Inchauspe68c481$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.088751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked Paul Inchauspe33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.513438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Paul Inchauspe70c445$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.944,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Koki Matsuda51c442.85$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.311,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe004…d87cbacked Koki Matsuda24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6715060%90 W · 60 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34f…1cfabacked Paul Inchauspe74c403.49$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Koki Matsuda76c397.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.059136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Paul Inchauspe74c364.01$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3791754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Koki Matsuda51c350.56$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.568,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Koki Matsuda66c337.63$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.221,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Paul Inchauspe47c310.29$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2895050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paul Inchauspe53c306.57$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Koki Matsuda25c300$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22419041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e6…4be3backed Paul Inchauspe35c298.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4119347.2%91 W · 102 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Paul Inchauspe42c283.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.531,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Paul Inchauspe4c282.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7819540%78 W · 117 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Koki Matsuda25c273.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8215115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3a7…418abacked Koki Matsuda22c272.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Paul Inchauspe33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.111826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Paul Inchauspe26c254.92$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.072,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Paul Inchauspe71c228.46$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16318258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Koki Matsuda67c228.2$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.311,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…04ecbacked Koki Matsuda63c227.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.697042.9%30 W · 40 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4bf4…7e67backed Koki Matsuda33c221.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.268256.1%46 W · 36 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1adc…b884backed Paul Inchauspe22c213.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474515.6%7 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…80b1backed Paul Inchauspe21c206$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3833228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Paul Inchauspe38c200.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.024,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Koki Matsuda63c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2446551.2%238 W · 227 L-23.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Paul Inchauspe35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015536.8%57 W · 98 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Paul Inchauspe35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010632.1%34 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Koki Matsuda51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.274,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Koki Matsuda26c194.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Koki Matsuda51c194$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.31,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Koki Matsuda47c190.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4626955%148 W · 121 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Paul Inchauspe34c180$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.248738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Koki Matsuda55c170.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.855664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Paul Inchauspe46c170.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0676355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Paul Inchauspe59c169.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Paul Inchauspe15c167.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5187741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Koki Matsuda28c167.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.525447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Koki Matsuda55c161.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.615468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5251…be02backed Koki Matsuda52c154.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.733745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Paul Inchauspe39c153.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Koki Matsuda53c148.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6712947.3%61 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Koki Matsuda48c144.47$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.472,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Koki Matsuda75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Koki Matsuda76c131.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6845850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11a…a5d9backed Paul Inchauspe53c131.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012748.8%62 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Koki Matsuda77c128.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6818968.8%130 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Koki Matsuda58c126$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Paul Inchauspe38c121.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4678957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Koki Matsuda62c121.28$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.492,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed Koki Matsuda32c117.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.478616.3%14 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Paul Inchauspe77c115$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.239157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Koki Matsuda41c114$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Paul Inchauspe47c112.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0829149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Koki Matsuda64c112.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7934149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Koki Matsuda27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1124440.2%98 W · 146 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Paul Inchauspe46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Koki Matsuda26c107.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1867838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.