TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79e9…80b1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
398
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT33228.3%94 W · 238 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 332 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Mika Petkovic vs Federico Iannacconebacked Mika Petkovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Roehampton 2: Andreja Petrovic vs John Echeverriabacked John Echeverria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.78
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Tim Handel vs Arthur Nagelbacked Tim Handel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.12
Augsburg: Georgii Kravchenko vs Dominik Recekbacked Dominik Recek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$128.31
ITF M15 Båstad Men: Leo Borg vs Niklas Guttaubacked Leo Borg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.87
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Daniel Siniakovbacked Daniel Siniakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Rinko Matsuda vs Meng Yi Chenbacked Meng Yi Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.78
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$110.62
Quebec City: Dusan Lajovic vs Taro Danielbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.32
Prague 2: Petr Brunclik vs Jan Kumstatbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.22
Prague 2: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.66
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.59
ITF Tauste: Benjamin Pietri vs Pavlos Tsitsipasbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.36
Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsudabacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
ITF Leipzig: Valentina Steiner vs Julie Pastikovabacked Julie Pastikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
Warsaw: Vendula Valdmannova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.42
ITF Koksijde: Loes Ebeling Koning vs Eva Bennemannbacked Eva Bennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$305.16
ITF Astana: Martin Borisiouk vs Egor Agafonovbacked Egor Agafonov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
ITF Tianjin: Sae Noguchi vs Junhan Zhangbacked Junhan Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$94.8
Istanbul 2: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Baxbacked Florent Bax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$29.08
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.3
Canadian Open: Terence Atmane vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.16
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.78
Plovdiv 2: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Samuele Pieribacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Showing 25 of 332 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT5817.2%10 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$56.47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$96.28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.81
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$45.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$109.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.