Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27631fb0ff6db64094d685d4ca8ea906c45bd5af101fd9b97db0d20ac600d379

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $580,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $343,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,884 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	35,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d69…e597backed Yes	0c	15,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	11c	13,033$1,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,409.77	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa376…c17dbacked Yes	0c	12,651$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.95	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	11,758$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.66	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7c…9400backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	8,798$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.62	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	11c	7,501$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$794.59	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	18c	7,421$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.95	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	6,960$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	8c	6,900$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.5	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	6,887$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.16	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	6,599$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.83	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x731a…9062backed Yes	0c	6,200$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	13c	5,983$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.13	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	5,873$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.83	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	5,776$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	5,250$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.9	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd576…cb24backed Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	4,546$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.01	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	4,228$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.97	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	5c	4,220$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.96	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	3,804$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.27	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	3,495$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.54	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	3c	3,297$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.9	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd7…b2dbbacked Yes	21c	3,266$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.73	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	14cpaid	+150.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	3,266$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.3	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	15c	3,025$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.64	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	3,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	2,964$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.21	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec6…4558backed Yes	1c	2,725$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.42	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	2,510$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.93	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	9c	2,433$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.85	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes	2c	2,343$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	4c	2,331$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.47	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	4c	2,200$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	16c	2,196$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.12	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…3559backed Yes	6c	2,000$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	7c	2,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	7c	1,968$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.76	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	12c	1,960$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.61	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdfb…f1ffbacked Yes	11c	1,843$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.04	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	7c	1,773$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.54	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	2c	1,764$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	1,751$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.65	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	19c	1,684$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.81	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…3ec5backed Yes	15c	1,668$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.36	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	15c	1,586$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.1	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	7c	1,562$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.96	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	10c	1,555$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.12	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	14c	1,551$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.99	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	9c	1,542$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.72	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	19c	1,484$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.99	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Yes	11c	1,464$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.37	68	14.7%10 W · 58 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	16c	1,443$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.75	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	17c	1,429$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.02	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	9c	1,427$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.98	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	1,369$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.57	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	4c	1,351$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.66	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6d4…6d35backed Yes	19c	1,318$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.21	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	14c	1,301$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.81	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4c…e62fbacked Yes	2c	1,284$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	3c	1,255$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.4	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No	79c	1,200$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.62	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	3c	1,173$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.48	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	17c	1,113$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.21	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	1c	1,102$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	11c	1,088$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.1	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd82…396ebacked Yes	2c	1,029$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	6cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	10c	1,007$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.01	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	797	11.3%90 W · 707 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc8…9e87backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+90.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Yes	5c	992.55$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.33	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	4c	975.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	15c	975.17$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.75	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	14c	959.02$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.82	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	5c	957.94$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.35	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	10c	944.62$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.78	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	10c	919.73$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.39	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	5c	899$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.85	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd187…c76cbacked Yes	18c	867.82$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.13	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2280…4ef5backed Yes	11c	859.87$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.33	82	15.9%13 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	8c	848.73$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.71	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	17c	790.45$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.61	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	6c	770.68$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.92	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	17c	763.7$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.39	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	10c	724.49$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.79	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fae…de62backed Yes	14c	712.8$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	8c	707.67$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.02	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f72…664abacked Yes	8c	703.7$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	26cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	7c	699.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes	11c	697.64$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.06	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	18c	690.25$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.25	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	17c	689.35$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.58	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes	5c	672.87$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.33	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	19c	641.31$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.2	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event