TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9ee…6b9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5416.7%9 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.79
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.46
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.92
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.82
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$4,012.02
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.87
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$738.41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.6
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.97
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+589.7%+$427.38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$1,009.17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.41
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+531.2%+$2,429.71
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$921Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$920.75
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$737Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,431.3
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$504.53
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.42
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.95
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$143.37
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$67.78
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.96
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$119.79
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.95
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$170.95
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$123.16
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.24
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.24
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$170.95
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.01
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$319.32
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.52
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84.17
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.48
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.9
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$85.8
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.15
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+141.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.41
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$428.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$255.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 1 Toulouse FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.