Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd931068cfaa9c9cb168aeb351a2595fbbd3c14a31512af8c18883b6b04a6ab

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $753,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $511,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $753,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 781 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	51c	22,458$11,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,030.95	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	63c	16,940$10,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,347.11	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	23c	15,676$3,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,532.16	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	18c	15,676$2,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,851.43	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	32c	13,306$4,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,294.26	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	33c	10,045$3,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,294.14	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	55c	9,924$5,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,499.34	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf657…d8cebacked Yes	17c	9,792$1,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,698.65	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1816…1c4abacked Yes	1c	7,318$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.26	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	17c	6,903$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,192.48	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	11c	6,275$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.15	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	45c	6,232$2,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,830.73	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	9c	6,046$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.76	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	36c	5,956$2,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,120.49	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee83…e5dcbacked No	76c	5,758$4,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.02	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	5,410$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.41	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Yes	59c	5,321$3,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,115.57	108	24.1%26 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	24c	5,146$1,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.85	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f73…b6f9backed Yes	35c	5,113$1,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.16	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	23c	5,091$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.3	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	5,000$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	48c	4,930$2,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,359.38	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	22c	4,468$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$991.83	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	4,324$945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$944.77	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe05b…bd46backed No	78c	4,299$3,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.87	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	6c	4,243$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.72	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	77c	4,235$3,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.33	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	21c	4,090$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.49	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	21c	3,948$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.71	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	3,947$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.64	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	44c	3,911$1,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,704.54	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	1c	3,895$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	37c	3,845$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,425.41	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	37c	3,787$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,391.72	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd341…b73fbacked Yes	31c	3,772$1,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.54	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	20c	3,622$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.46	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	60c	3,534$2,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,418.18	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5364…c64dbacked No	78c	3,444$2,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$768.31	151	64.9%98 W · 53 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	4c	3,414$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.95	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	60c	3,241$1,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.26	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	25c	3,130$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.13	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	69c	3,117$2,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$966.27	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	22c	3,071$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.87	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	3,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	77c	2,996$2,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$684.19	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	2,974$2,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.91	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	24c	2,893$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.06	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	30c	2,888$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.46	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	2,812$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.19	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	23c	2,505$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.64	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	79c	2,500$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.99	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6b7…227bbacked No	80c	2,463$1,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.1	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	21c	2,387$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.11	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	21c	2,356$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.29	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	22c	2,342$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.23	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	57c	2,312$1,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$996.17	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	58c	2,300$1,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,333.98	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	70c	2,255$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,568.8	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	18c	2,197$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.71	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e78backed Yes	13c	2,187$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.37	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	18c	2,181$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.99	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	30c	2,170$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	32c	2,145$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.87	100	15%15 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	41c	2,138$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.54	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	33c	2,136$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.76	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked Yes	28c	2,095$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.09	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	18c	2,037$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.63	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	6c	2,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	14c	2,000$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.22	413	10.7%44 W · 369 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	1,974$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.82	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	15c	1,968$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.2	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes	31c	1,916$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$586.23	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	28c	1,900$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.99	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	78c	1,884$1,466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.75	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8815…438dbacked Yes	11c	1,820$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.67	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	46c	1,809$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.7	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	8c	1,755$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.42	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	15c	1,633$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.89	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	23c	1,628$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.18	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Yes	28c	1,600$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	190	20.5%39 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	26c	1,595$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.06	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ce1…3c1abacked Yes	32c	1,583$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	69c	1,555$1,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.36	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x054c…ae95backed Yes	62c	1,553$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.63	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	25c	1,483$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.76	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	18c	1,461$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.24	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	2c	1,458$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.84	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes	30c	1,415$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.36	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	35c	1,362$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.88	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	46c	1,348$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.46	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes	30c	1,335$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.6	171	26.9%46 W · 125 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b73…c441backed No	74c	1,327$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.94	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	25c	1,281$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.41	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…cc19backed Yes	20c	1,265$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.06	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	11c	1,256$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.63	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…b5a0backed Yes	40c	1,237$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.67	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event