Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919e9a343f05f3f039fa622cdc2f5d310897c8c3f4419ff0ce2ff6e1c8ef8841

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $837,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $463,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,330 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	8c	29,462$2,390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,390.21	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	14c	24,233$3,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,509.66	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	16,096$1,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.32	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	16c	14,232$2,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,330.58	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	13,000$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	12c	12,092$1,445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,445.4	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	11,864$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.22	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	9c	11,254$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.45	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	1c	11,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	3c	10,941$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.54	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	9,859$1,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	7,276$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.05	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	11c	7,100$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.32	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	11c	6,946$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.73	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	9c	6,775$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.52	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	8c	6,621$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.36	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	13c	5,748$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.72	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	12c	5,678$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.96	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	9c	5,651$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.59	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	14c	5,529$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.11	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	13c	5,455$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.78	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	18c	5,411$982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$982.37	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf657…d8cebacked Yes	24c	4,827$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,152.29	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	12c	4,814$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.18	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	20c	4,653$920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.77	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b78…8cadbacked No	79c	4,500$3,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa630…49e8backed Yes	25c	4,291$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	7c	4,276$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.83	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	4,159$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.61	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	13c	4,013$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.39	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc366…73cebacked Yes	4c	3,569$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.25	25	8%2 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	3,384$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.88	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	15c	3,322$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.82	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	16c	3,160$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.94	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	14c	3,158$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.52	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	7c	3,058$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.79	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdd…dacebacked Yes	24c	2,972$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$706.21	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	14c	2,968$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.07	105	14.3%15 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes	5c	2,956$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.97	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	15c	2,848$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.67	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	2,798$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe43d…3978backed Yes	5c	2,700$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	200	25%50 W · 150 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	16c	2,682$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.03	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3c…1a17backed Yes	2c	2,632$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.29	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	12c	2,603$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.06	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4197…d9c3backed Yes	22c	2,553$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	2,500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	2,485$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.11	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	8c	2,456$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.01	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	16c	2,387$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.34	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e7…312fbacked Yes	14c	2,383$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.07	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3223…f2e2backed Yes	23c	2,376$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	13c	2,337$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.02	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	15c	2,307$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.77	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e78backed Yes	15c	2,285$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.71	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	6c	2,264$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.57	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	17c	2,244$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.37	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	11c	2,151$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.04	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	2,004$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.02	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	15c	1,995$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.06	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc146…223cbacked Yes	11c	1,975$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.83	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	17c	1,953$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.7	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	19c	1,923$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.65	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	3c	1,918$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.47	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…afd5backed Yes	17c	1,838$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.47	69	17.4%12 W · 57 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	9c	1,800$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	1,770$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.35	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	16c	1,758$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.97	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f73…b6f9backed Yes	16c	1,742$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.23	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	4c	1,709$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.88	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	11c	1,700$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	16c	1,635$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.52	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes	17c	1,607$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	70	22.9%16 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	15c	1,597$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.55	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x709d…5501backed Yes	10c	1,578$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.5	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	18c	1,568$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.77	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes	16c	1,474$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.53	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	19c	1,444$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.73	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	14c	1,434$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.97	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	13c	1,405$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.6	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	13c	1,400$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	6c	1,400$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.4	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	18c	1,396$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.5	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	9c	1,395$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.59	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…b2bcbacked Yes	8c	1,372$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.51	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e9…1a46backed Yes	11c	1,370$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.44	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-37%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	6c	1,367$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.64	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	8c	1,362$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.21	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,359$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.51	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	11c	1,306$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.95	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	9c	1,300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	13c	1,232$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.37	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	1,200$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	1,195$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d0…cd9abacked Yes	23c	1,179$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.27	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+68%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed Yes	12c	1,121$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.05	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadc…4285backed Yes	5c	1,116$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.82	97	28.9%28 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event