Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc070cde50280f170da915f8489c49d5290d74688b088d72cb51cfff112f3067b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $781,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $447,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781,644 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd551…d570backed Yes	2c	41,096$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.72	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	26,727$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.45	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	16,087$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.12	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	13,854$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.58	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	1c	11,875$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.43	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	11,045$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.7	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	9,706$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.45	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	0c	9,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	8,941$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.45	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c2…1750backed Yes	1c	8,465$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.82	209	7.7%16 W · 193 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-17%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	5c	8,357$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.02	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	7,374$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.55	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	7c	6,957$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.35	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	5,859$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	5,572$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.24	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x960b…9303backed Yes	2c	5,450$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.25	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	15c	5,224$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.32	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	5,061$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.49	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	5,049$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.69	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	2c	5,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a5…d8eabacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	4,996$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	4,859$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.53	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	1c	4,526$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	4,449$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.67	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd341…b73fbacked Yes	2c	4,402$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.29	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	4,149$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.2	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x068d…70d3backed Yes	1c	3,900$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	3,889$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.33	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	3,869$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	3,858$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.53	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	4c	3,768$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.6	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…569cbacked Yes	0c	3,679$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	42	14.3%6 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-45%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	3,550$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	6c	3,546$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.17	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	3,165$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.64	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	3,025$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.07	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…2006backed Yes	5c	2,958$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.98	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,833$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	11c	2,702$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.55	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	6c	2,664$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.27	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	2c	2,518$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.57	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd00e…fb86backed Yes	13c	2,492$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.49	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	3c	2,471$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.74	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	2,435$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.76	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	2,367$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.2	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,360$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	11c	2,345$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.3	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	4c	2,285$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.1	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes	5c	2,233$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.25	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,179$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	4c	2,078$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.44	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f9…fd9dbacked Yes	12c	2,069$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	47	14.9%7 W · 40 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	1c	2,065$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	9c	2,064$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.32	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	5c	2,013$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.6	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	6c	1,989$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.26	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	10c	1,980$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.57	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	9c	1,926$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.25	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	1c	1,901$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	6c	1,811$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.04	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Yes	6c	1,803$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.45	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	12c	1,688$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.49	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	1,581$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.28	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	1,541$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	5c	1,417$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.25	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	1c	1,378$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,352$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.82	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes	10c	1,315$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.06	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	11c	1,261$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.93	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	1,253$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.36	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5a…0a70backed Yes	6c	1,251$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.73	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+152.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	9c	1,243$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.42	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b8…2204backed Yes	5c	1,243$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.37	27	0%0 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x890b…2737backed Yes	16c	1,237$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.93	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	3c	1,200$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	12c	1,153$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.91	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	14c	1,137$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.7	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	1,086$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.12	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	3c	1,074$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa899…f68dbacked Yes	6c	1,069$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.06	86	10.5%9 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	5c	1,057$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.23	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	11c	1,056$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.11	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	9c	1,054$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.05	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	1c	1,044$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.56	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef4…dc6abacked Yes	2c	1,025$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	10c	1,023$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.97	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked Yes	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	3c	997.66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.9	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes	3c	992.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	965.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7a…4aa5backed Yes	1c	955.16$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	76	6.6%5 W · 71 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	5c	935.27$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41f…2a81backed Yes	3c	891.42$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event