TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd00e…fb86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT5719.3%11 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.11
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.93
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.85
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+154.6%+$2,250.48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,240
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.86
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+135%+$9,849.62
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$692
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,576.17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,652.45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$125.34
Hornets vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.5%+$10.87
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+77%+$15.79
Spurs vs. Pistons: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.01
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Kings vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$115.8
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$105.5
Magic vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+100%+$100
76ers vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$975
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+245.9%+$46.71
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$122.54
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$338.99
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.8%+$169.14
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+124.4%+$344.63
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on January 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on January 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+37.9%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on January 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+48.2%+$24.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+114.1%+$27.8
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C or higher on January 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C on January 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$28.05
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,474
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$130
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$80
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-87.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,386
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.45
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,254.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$39
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
ASB Classic: Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wangbacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$48.4
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$220
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+54.4%+$246.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.