Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa56c14683386a2195ab2076c38b5ce8df25c9e35c222e5e16dca410f769cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 31c | 11,475$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.46 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…7ebcbacked No | 26c | 8,211$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.14 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed No | 32c | 7,354$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.67 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…0d6abacked Yes | 75c | 6,990$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 59c | 6,408$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.05 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 65c | 4,722$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.45 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 54c | 4,674$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.56 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 8c | 3,569$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.86 | 455 | 11.6%53 W · 402 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 38c | 3,306$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.37 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.07 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked No | 2c | 2,900$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,833$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.54 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 63c | 2,803$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.6 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…6378backed No | 13c | 2,725$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,608$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 77c | 2,556$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.36 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 49c | 2,523$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.06 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked No | 18c | 2,430$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 53c | 2,428$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.87 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 63c | 2,377$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.99 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…30d5backed No | 18c | 2,311$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…a26abacked No | 1c | 2,273$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 60c | 2,049$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.93 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…4824backed Yes | 57c | 1,893$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.1 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 70c | 1,843$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…1a31backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Yes | 54c | 1,563$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 1,547$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 1,476$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.2 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked No | 39c | 1,346$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…6558backed Yes | 75c | 1,201$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.42 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3856backed Yes | 74c | 1,197$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked No | 50c | 1,135$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.96 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…7cdabacked Yes | 77c | 1,114$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…23fdbacked Yes | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 154 | 35.1%54 W · 100 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 28c | 1,099$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.32 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…5204backed Yes | 34c | 1,033$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed No | 31c | 1,017$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.65 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 47c | 1,001$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.79 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.07 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…c64dbacked No | 17c | 1,000$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…e9f3backed No | 7c | 1,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked No | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde99…8449backed Yes | 77c | 977.38$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 22c | 971.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…4257backed Yes | 78c | 970.63$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.61 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 71c | 942.05$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…4815backed No | 55c | 909$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a26…a03bbacked No | 1c | 899.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e78backed Yes | 73c | 869$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.63 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 78c | 845.09$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.58 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…7f66backed No | 3c | 830.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 197 | 26.9%53 W · 144 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked No | 29c | 815.89$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1287…85adbacked No | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 68c | 800$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 238 | 19.3%46 W · 192 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…9ee5backed Yes | 72c | 800$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 53c | 796.19$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.31 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 33c | 789.33$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…0c3bbacked Yes | 51c | 772.36$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 8c | 767$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…1ccebacked Yes | 67c | 745.12$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…ee17backed Yes | 69c | 724.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.63 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…460abacked No | 13c | 671$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6a21backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…6bd7backed No | 6c | 655.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 247 | 10.9%27 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…010bbacked No | 2c | 651.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…86dcbacked Yes | 57c | 610.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…12bdbacked Yes | 35c | 601.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.79 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…8c33backed Yes | 30c | 589.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.91 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked No | 47c | 588.77$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 34c | 584.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.07 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…b128backed No | 34c | 562.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 31c | 561.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 183 | 21.9%40 W · 143 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 57c | 548.29$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.7 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…0ae3backed No | 6c | 531.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +15.8wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 32c | 500.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb5…f779backed Yes | 43c | 500$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…13a0backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…4064backed No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…0d3bbacked Yes | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed No | 42c | 499.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed No | 8c | 498.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 27.8%62 W · 161 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked No | 36c | 497.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.15 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…88cbbacked Yes | 71c | 495.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…264cbacked No | 3c | 495.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47b…9843backed Yes | 52c | 495.45$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…03b2backed Yes | 71c | 490$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…9f26backed Yes | 64c | 485.7$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…95b4backed Yes | 43c | 482.41$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed No | 7c | 474.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…8174backed Yes | 69c | 454.53$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.53 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Yes | 67c | 446$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 66c | 435.81$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 195 | 50.3%98 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed No | 17c | 434.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 432.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.33 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…f988backed Yes | 58c | 429.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.