Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7440c203b9b43b064bf6b885597657c8a5f777fb954ca5754002e4691b78732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 22c | 25,769$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,631.19 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…7ebcbacked Yes | 19c | 24,847$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 17c | 20,527$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.78 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 22c | 9,521$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.23 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed Yes | 26c | 9,200$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.33 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a5…d8eabacked No | 76c | 8,500$6,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 23c | 7,642$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.4 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…c480backed No | 79c | 7,565$5,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed No | 77c | 7,423$5,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.49 | 108 | 24.1%26 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 20c | 7,174$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.62 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…558bbacked No | 79c | 6,751$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.26 | 181 | 23.8%43 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 23c | 6,650$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.4 | 880 | 17.3%152 W · 728 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 15c | 6,125$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.06 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…f169backed No | 79c | 5,422$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.74 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 24c | 5,128$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.82 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…7cdabacked Yes | 27c | 4,822$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 19c | 4,700$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.39 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 28c | 4,137$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.94 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 26c | 3,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 75c | 3,506$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.74 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 19c | 3,456$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.24 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,414$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.57 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa752…e19fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,410$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.22 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 20c | 3,224$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.17 | 292 | 27.7%81 W · 211 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 3,090$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.86 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,990$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…eac8backed No | 80c | 2,714$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.87 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…8121backed Yes | 18c | 2,611$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.05 | 488 | 19.3%94 W · 394 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…86dcbacked No | 80c | 2,563$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.03 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…af26backed Yes | 21c | 2,501$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.17 | 138 | 17.4%24 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Yes | 18c | 2,395$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafe…2e34backed Yes | 28c | 2,390$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.24 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 4c | 2,269$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402c…0f6dbacked No | 78c | 2,269$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.52 | 280 | 25.4%71 W · 209 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…db6fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,206$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.14 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed Yes | 23c | 2,093$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.69 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc012…5d52backed No | 78c | 2,022$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes | 18c | 1,901$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Yes | 16c | 1,856$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…a3efbacked Yes | 18c | 1,824$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 21c | 1,800$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.13 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…460bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,786$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.46 | 264 | 18.6%49 W · 215 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…1af9backed Yes | 18c | 1,783$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes | 24c | 1,689$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 388 | 28.6%111 W · 277 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…4503backed Yes | 19c | 1,649$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.28 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked No | 78c | 1,604$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.35 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd510…d56dbacked No | 79c | 1,543$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.18 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed No | 77c | 1,469$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,382$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.29 | 285 | 26.7%76 W · 209 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Yes | 2c | 1,353$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 89 | 16.9%15 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…4254backed Yes | 30c | 1,344$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.25 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed Yes | 18c | 1,232$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.63 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 78c | 1,165$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 3c | 1,150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…a743backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 248 | 15.3%38 W · 210 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 25c | 1,095$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.28 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…3e81backed Yes | 21c | 1,050$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…3a33backed Yes | 22c | 1,034$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…c12cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 24.2%30 W · 94 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…2423backed Yes | 25c | 999.92$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.78 | 176 | 28.4%50 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 22c | 969.47$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653f…c386backed No | 80c | 953.26$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 932.05$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 925.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed No | 80c | 909.54$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 16c | 900.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 19c | 893.46$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 230 | 19.1%44 W · 186 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 839.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x266e…17e5backed No | 76c | 805$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed No | 75c | 800$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 8c | 773.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x446f…8148backed Yes | 15c | 747.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 11c | 741.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…18debacked Yes | 22c | 738.76$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Yes | 22c | 704.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…79efbacked No | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked No | 70c | 699.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3856backed Yes | 22c | 699.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes | 20c | 686.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 80c | 660.01$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…4bdebacked Yes | 20c | 653.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.61 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc47b…9843backed Yes | 26c | 652.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 73c | 646.23$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.08 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Yes | 17c | 634.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…64f3backed Yes | 23c | 620$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes | 16c | 608.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 165 | 6.7%11 W · 154 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…00f7backed No | 76c | 607.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed No | 72c | 605.09$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 273 | 16.8%46 W · 227 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 69c | 600.04$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.43 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…d7dcbacked Yes | 20c | 599.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…8804backed Yes | 16c | 575$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.