TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf360…6726

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
294
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10824.1%26 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.85
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.46
Will White House post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.68
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.84
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$513.17
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$154.95
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,583Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,582.63
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.85
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$209.14
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$58.93
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.83
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+116.8%+$1,521.46
Will White House post 180-199 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.01
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.47
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+586.9%+$346.65
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT5911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked East Texas A&M Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.85
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Providence Friars vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Richmond Spiders vs. VCU Ramsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.87
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Syracuse Orange vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.97
Michigan State Spartans vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.45
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
Louisville Cardinals vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Morgan State Bears vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+426.3%+$84.61
Alcorn State Braves vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+316.7%+$48.64
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Pepperdine Waves vs. Washington State Cougarsbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Auburn Tigers vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+567.5%+$76.52
Florida State Seminoles vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
San Jose State Spartans vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked San Jose State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.97
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3625%9 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+47.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.55
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+350.5%+$77.8
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+2,400%+$249.6
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.8
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$56.95
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.82
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$114.44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+37.3%+$266.32
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$370
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.7%+$229.2
LoL: Andromeda Gaming vs NightBirds (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked Andromeda Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
LoL: FN Esports vs 3BL Esports (BO3) - Arabian League Group Stagebacked 3BL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
LoL: LYON vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+334.8%+$46.19
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2615.4%4 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked TEAM ORUGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked FOLHA AMARELA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs EXEN (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group Bbacked EXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs RED Canids (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Dbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs SINQU (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group Dbacked SINQU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked TEAM ORUGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Keyd (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Cbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+316.7%+$37.24
Counter-Strike: METANOIAGG vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Bbacked METANOIAGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Eruption vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsbacked Eruption · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Group Abacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+455.6%+$49.2
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs INFURITY Gaming (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group Bbacked INFURITY Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs LuleFlames (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group Abacked LuleFlames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Counter-Strike: BIG vs LuleFlames (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group Abacked LuleFlames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Lilmix (BO1) - United21 x Esplay Challenge Group Abacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+566.7%+$68
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Imperial (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Sangal (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group Dbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-61.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+245.1%+$57.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$93
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$56
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.36
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+300%+$38.24
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+48.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: One More Esports vs Vibranium Esports (BO3) - VCL MENA: Resilience Kickoff Group Stage - NAbacked Vibranium Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 6GPA (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Abacked 6GPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Caldya Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stagebacked F9 EICAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Valorant: Mandatory vs Erah Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Group Stagebacked Erah Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Valorant: sleepers vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagebacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+533%+$53.3
Valorant: ULF Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3)backed ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3)backed Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Beijing Ducks vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+184.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: Straubing Tigers vs. Loewen Frankfurtbacked Loewen Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.24
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirskbacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+469.6%+$65.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U19 World Cup: Zimbabwe Under-19s vs India Under-19sbacked Zimbabwe Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.89
Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier: Nepal Women vs Scotland Womenbacked Nepal Women · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,455Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$676.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,709.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.