TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,531,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,696,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,531,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 830 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX23c392,974$91,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,274.0655955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked T177c147,267$113,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,795.737751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX26c71,217$18,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,673.141,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed BNK FEARX22c50,841$11,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,305.4341644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed BNK FEARX30c46,736$13,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,862.5821448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed T177c44,444$34,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,222.1223447.9%112 W · 122 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1222…2aa7backed T178c40,000$31,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1835…b828backed T176c37,485$28,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,128.731921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-65%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9a…64f4backed BNK FEARX6c30,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BNK FEARX15c29,780$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.825923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed T170c28,511$19,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,553.2921137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T173c27,309$19,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,420.3959558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed BNK FEARX31c27,018$8,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,491.535243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed T169c25,809$17,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,974.5627735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed BNK FEARX7c20,511$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.972072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed BNK FEARX30c18,421$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.554562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed T174c15,896$11,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.1720438.2%78 W · 126 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed T177c15,000$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.9814753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX10c14,811$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.0881143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked BNK FEARX21c12,899$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.9810133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T174c12,758$9,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.1139851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed BNK FEARX27c11,505$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.9631644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed BNK FEARX20c11,059$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.471,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T166c10,949$7,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,763.1467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed T169c10,248$7,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.842840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked T176c9,999$7,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.7641752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed T177c8,895$6,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.7531153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX24c8,817$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,146.292,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX24c8,776$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.391,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed T171c8,488$6,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.161080%8 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed T177c8,457$6,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.3447953.2%255 W · 224 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed T177c7,918$6,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.1717561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T177c7,883$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.691,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a3…82dabacked BNK FEARX8c7,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5302512%3 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-82.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked BNK FEARX27c7,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked T175c6,857$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.144955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX29c6,679$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.443,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed T179c6,574$5,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.464676.1%35 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX13c6,524$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.9125952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed T170c6,500$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf399…0129backed T178c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.262065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed BNK FEARX23c6,315$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.4514839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked T178c6,250$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3501662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed T177c6,034$4,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.7622462.1%139 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc41…086dbacked BNK FEARX23c6,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked BNK FEARX24c5,683$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.8713345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BNK FEARX24c5,674$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.381,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed BNK FEARX31c5,408$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.3413531.9%43 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed T180c5,000$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.2521836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed T179c4,842$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.777345.2%33 W · 40 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed BNK FEARX26c4,809$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.5523439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked BNK FEARX36c4,586$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,673.4921740.1%87 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…c0c0backed T177c4,583$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed T157c4,568$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.411,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked BNK FEARX31c4,438$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.1336460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked BNK FEARX10c4,397$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.929535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed T178c4,332$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.094358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc96…5307backed T178c4,226$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked T177c4,035$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.536939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked T172c4,035$2,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.7153139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BNK FEARX32c4,002$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.981,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed T172c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9975738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX30c3,954$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1981,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe041…a51dbacked T175c3,898$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.976753.7%36 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed BNK FEARX16c3,708$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.2740435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked T171c3,506$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.8918961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BNK FEARX33c3,455$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.0795041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked BNK FEARX15c3,412$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.115226.9%14 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…50fdbacked T170c3,286$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.712147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x385f…a21fbacked T177c3,253$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.141957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59cf…71dabacked BNK FEARX9c3,200$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295229.1%2 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed T177c3,114$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.8113846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX21c3,074$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.682,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T175c3,010$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7431,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed BNK FEARX23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69026246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed BNK FEARX25c2,820$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.421,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x55f0…3cf5backed T173c2,752$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.12347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed T178c2,729$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3857945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked T177c2,716$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.6812646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed T176c2,715$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.530243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked BNK FEARX13c2,635$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1721536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1a…365fbacked T178c2,606$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.361353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed BNK FEARX21c2,577$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.3348742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked T178c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.114866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0f…e422backed T159c2,561$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed T171c2,520$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.021,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T177c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57526360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed BNK FEARX19c2,500$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.6546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked T170c2,479$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.49333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX24c2,440$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.541,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed T178c2,428$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.5939749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed BNK FEARX18c2,416$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7127535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T177c2,399$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.5996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked BNK FEARX7c2,250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0518520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd295…0fe6backed T170c2,250$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6651361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e2…02b0backed T170c2,122$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe628…0024backed T178c2,002$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4412369.9%86 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed T169c2,000$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T178c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44021154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed BNK FEARX23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.