TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$475,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$537,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked T166c48,952$32,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,444.567751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX34c47,128$15,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,272.061,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe795…8caebacked BNK FEARX79c14,691$11,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075.1820354.7%111 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T13c14,403$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.881,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T155c11,150$6,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,14367552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed T171c10,000$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,086.6913453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed T171c8,630$6,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,127.3421448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX33c8,236$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.4455955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX31c8,180$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,625.723,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T161c7,920$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.459558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e78…29d0backed BNK FEARX31c6,835$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.0624248.3%117 W · 125 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked T169c6,591$4,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,547.6436460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed T17c6,110$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.672072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked BNK FEARX44c5,835$2,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.0613345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BNK FEARX35c5,211$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.421,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked T110c5,123$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6210535.2%37 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked T144c5,006$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.821,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BNK FEARX53c4,905$2,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.321,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed T118c4,486$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-35.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0de1…c735backed T167c3,670$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.754748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX47c3,543$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.682,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed T16c3,504$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.4612433.9%42 W · 82 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked BNK FEARX31c3,226$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.9427447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked BNK FEARX52c3,225$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.16738.8%26 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked T166c3,125$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.231,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked BNK FEARX27c3,009$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.859535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked T167c2,985$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0f…dcb0backed T112c2,820$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.474610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked T136c2,637$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.7295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed BNK FEARX45c2,530$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6919839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed BNK FEARX58c2,370$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.181,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed BNK FEARX59c2,303$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.4218741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed T165c2,160$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40423439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX34c2,100$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38685746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed BNK FEARX68c1,957$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.3425952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed BNK FEARX48c1,863$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.359852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed T169c1,755$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.2125269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked T149c1,640$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.4985046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX44c1,581$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.3144550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX52c1,484$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.341,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX56c1,432$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.411,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed T159c1,429$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.8467276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed T167c1,390$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.2839851.8%206 W · 192 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f12…9c18backed T153c1,378$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.462231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed T147c1,349$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.7314637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed BNK FEARX24c1,194$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.0925038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5f…e63cbacked T145c1,065$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.12128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BNK FEARX29c1,059$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.981,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked T148c1,050$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed BNK FEARX56c1,024$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.71,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked BNK FEARX32c1,010$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6617826.4%47 W · 131 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked T168c1,003$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68214840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked T144c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe092…477cbacked T167c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6706056.7%34 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed BNK FEARX73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7101,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f81…5410backed T11c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10390%0 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed T169c975.3$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.781,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed BNK FEARX34c966.53$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.914555.6%25 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed T11c895.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3522654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed BNK FEARX35c884.6$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.7240435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed BNK FEARX43c878.43$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.7721857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x327b…28cabacked BNK FEARX35c868.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX49c840.42$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.121,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked T111c800.01$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9018520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed T147c778.27$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36412338.2%47 W · 76 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked T136c776.98$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.152,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked T114c766.92$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.741,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708d…ea78backed BNK FEARX38c735.5$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.33745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked BNK FEARX52c727.04$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9823751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BNK FEARX34c724$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.4776953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed T12c716.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.655833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed T143c700$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30245739.6%181 W · 276 L-37.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FEARX34c687.12$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.51,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BNK FEARX41c683.19$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.1350242.2%212 W · 290 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed T115c666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.923915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked BNK FEARX31c652.79$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7914044.3%62 W · 78 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T169c644.32$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.411,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed T162c611.26$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.0344843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed T133c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T169c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4141,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed BNK FEARX28c600$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked T171c599.98$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.997444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed T129c595$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.914330.8%44 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbdb…b84dbacked T149c578.57$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2812250%11 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1281…8d51backed BNK FEARX34c572.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.956735.8%24 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed T138c568.46$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2435035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked T140c559$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8945344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked BNK FEARX39c553.85$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4316540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…8b03backed T123c550$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12868443.6%298 W · 386 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked T173c547.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed BNK FEARX27c513.39$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.741,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed T178c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3904647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed BNK FEARX17c483.21$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.788334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed T169c480$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed T152c479.81$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.9240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x750e…1facbacked T163c475.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed T122c474.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed T12c455$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked T144c455$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.214751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.