Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93b14bc33880aa06e3e7c854511ef33eb6fa0c8b77c8fd3546dc635db46424d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof T1, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 29,174$14,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,504.64 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed T1 | 49c | 16,111$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.39 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed T1 | 50c | 10,872$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.06 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 6,064$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.78 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed T1 | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed T1 | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed T1 | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,555$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.09 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked T1 | 46c | 1,252$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,051$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.32 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed T1 | 50c | 600.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed T1 | 50c | 596$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked T1 | 51c | 588.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed T1 | 51c | 540.86$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.94 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 473.08$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed T1 | 52c | 348.71$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed T1 | 51c | 343.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed T1 | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed BNK FEARX | 67c | 299.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked T1 | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 216.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed T1 | 45c | 211.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 209.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked T1 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed T1 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked T1 | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed T1 | 52c | 198.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…2d97backed T1 | 52c | 167.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked T1 | 50c | 131.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed T1 | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed T1 | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed T1 | 51c | 81.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…1359backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked T1 | 50c | 70.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed T1 | 45c | 62.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…6715backed T1 | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed BNK FEARX | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed T1 | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…95adbacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed T1 | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 197 | 41.1%81 W · 116 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BNK FEARX | 53c | 47.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed T1 | 50c | 42.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked T1 | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked T1 | 50c | 37.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed T1 | 63c | 27.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked T1 | 51c | 25.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked T1 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -12.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.