TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3a0f…6715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST7251.4%37 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.84
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$53.58
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.28
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+68.6%+$24.14
LoL: DN SOOPers vs DRX - Game 4 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$22
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+109.6%+$52.82
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$40
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20.42
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+77.5%+$32.3
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.82
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+170.3%+$31.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$43.31
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.65
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$71.22
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+165.9%+$46.78
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$25.31
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$26.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+100%+$22.5
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.79
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40.6
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$61.1
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
RCD Mallorca vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.74
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.99
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.6
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$43.2
Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$89.69
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$58.3
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.2%+$31.34
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.2
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$34.2
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+118.1%+$99.76
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+120.3%+$62.27
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+345.3%+$85.3
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$26.76
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+66.3%+$13.26
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$93.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$181.33
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.06
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$29.9
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.82
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51.75
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.43
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+34.6%+$18
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47.2
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.4%+$24.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.48
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20.42
All 4 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$38.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.