Champions League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fbf53b6ffe71dfb698be4d5505e77fdbf02066a874b0d3c01b058d30be79c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 58c | 62,133$36,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,345 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 43c | 54,063$23,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,889.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 42c | 50,000$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,999.92 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 32,293$13,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,975.61 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Over | 60c | 31,866$18,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,970 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8939…0addbacked Under | 43c | 25,230$10,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,381.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…c7bfbacked Over | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 41c | 18,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.99 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…173fbacked Under | 43c | 17,543$7,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…530abacked Over | 57c | 17,384$9,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,909.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Over | 61c | 16,437$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 58c | 9,579$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.68 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Over | 53c | 9,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.99 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 8,557$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,327.69 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 59c | 8,443$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.62 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 48c | 7,533$3,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.02 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 57c | 6,948$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.93 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Over | 58c | 6,779$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 6,387$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.27 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 58c | 6,380$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,722.87 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 6,126$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.51 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.99 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 5,793$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.2 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 58c | 4,250$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 60c | 4,151$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 42c | 3,700$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.99 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…7dc6backed Over | 57c | 3,507$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 3,178$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.33 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Under | 41c | 2,700$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 39c | 2,599$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.4 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 42c | 2,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0126…4047backed Under | 43c | 2,470$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…2530backed Over | 58c | 2,306$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…d1a3backed Under | 42c | 2,286$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 41c | 2,240$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…9164backed Over | 60c | 2,075$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 59c | 1,859$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 58c | 1,336$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Over | 58c | 1,330$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 1,141$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 41c | 1,132$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…5adcbacked Under | 61c | 1,093$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Over | 38c | 1,049$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 48c | 1,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 1,027$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.65 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under | 63c | 999.42$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.85 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 24c | 959$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Over | 29c | 925.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 40c | 851$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Over | 25c | 827.2$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 24c | 821.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 41c | 750.31$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 42c | 742.15$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.28 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 43c | 740$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Over | 58c | 691.14$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.86 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Over | 58c | 689$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Over | 59c | 680.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 49c | 626.57$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…eb28backed Over | 59c | 614$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…787bbacked Over | 58c | 601.81$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…ce92backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 59c | 596.61$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 59c | 579.12$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 577.59$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 39c | 563.16$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.06 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Over | 5c | 551.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 41c | 550.01$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.07 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 47c | 544.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.27 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 541.15$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.64 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 58c | 535.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.36 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 64c | 533.83$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 57c | 527.74$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 522.68$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.02 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 50c | 521.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Over | 58c | 517$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Under | 43c | 516.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.54 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 42c | 510$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 48c | 509.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…7785backed Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…da94backed Over | 57c | 492.97$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Over | 58c | 479.39$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Under | 79c | 418.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.