Champions League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0272bbe3f9f892dfe1c5ae8284e39b379e958ecb85efc0a385fd5c64de446b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 37c | 40,161$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 65c | 35,168$22,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,315.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 62c | 20,202$12,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,663.34 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 19,877$6,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.31 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 64c | 15,149$9,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.02 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 37c | 7,179$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.65 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 65c | 6,261$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.2 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 35c | 4,737$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.5 | 264 | 45.8%121 W · 143 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 36c | 4,290$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.45 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Over | 36c | 3,615$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 66c | 3,271$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.12 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 36c | 2,511$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.07 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 65c | 1,599$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.78 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…5a51backed Over | 38c | 1,571$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 10c | 1,437$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 36c | 1,350$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 36c | 1,333$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 1,272$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.33 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Under | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 36c | 1,231$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.81 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 64c | 1,013$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.85 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…def4backed Under | 66c | 1,000$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…c247backed Over | 35c | 985$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 22c | 925.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 66c | 912.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 29c | 852.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.64 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 34c | 809.96$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 15c | 583$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Over | 37c | 540.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Over | 38c | 526.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over | 37c | 459.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 445$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 63c | 315.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Under | 65c | 309$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 64c | 284.98$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 37c | 271.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 36c | 224.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 66c | 223.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…98a7backed Under | 66c | 222.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 37c | 210.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 14c | 190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 36c | 185$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 36c | 176.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 37c | 172.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 34c | 133$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f46…4f2bbacked Over | 37c | 125.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Over | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 65c | 123.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 113.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…62a4backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…8ef3backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Over | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Under | 65c | 93.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 14c | 89.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 37c | 86.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 37c | 81.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…8478backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 37c | 80.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Over | 37c | 75.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…8af0backed Over | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 65c | 69.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 36c | 68.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Under | 66c | 67.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Under | 70c | 63.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Over | 36c | 62.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 64c | 62.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 35c | 59.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.