TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b80…a0d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$20.11
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.24
Coventry City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.58
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.02
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.41
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.58
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.02
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15.35
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.04
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37.2%+$10.91
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.52
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$10.52
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.52
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.16
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.48
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$14.76
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17.86
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.32
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$21.95
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50.76
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$63.93
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.18
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$29.87
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.93
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.67
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$19.56
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.7%+$75.72
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.28
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.68
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$23.58
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$47.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$30.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$15.76
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.73
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$69.86
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.72
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+138.1%+$21.9
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.64
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.65
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.98
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$7.5
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.08
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$23.9
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.56
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$24.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.35
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$61.91
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will SC Paderborn 07 vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Karlsruher SC vs. SC Paderborn 07 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$90.15
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$44.81
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.32
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12.92
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.23
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.49
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Will SK Brann win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$3.56
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$17.27
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.