TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,559,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,559,586 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbc…f9a2backed No40c1,484,064$600,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600,034.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fdd…a747backed Yes64c688,126$440,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247,725.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No38c492,528$185,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,613.636657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No36c387,899$139,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,643.87842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No38c323,562$124,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,482.153633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes60c278,361$167,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,344.364658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes62c276,557$172,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,727.993652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Yes60c252,943$151,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,052.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes59c240,265$141,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,508.796844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes62c232,829$144,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,506.8912848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No36c177,410$63,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,867.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes60c170,321$102,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,934.5126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c158,914$59,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,524.0463346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No36c153,129$55,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,126.413751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No38c150,000$57,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,999.934641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c122,447$73,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,616.1959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No37c119,000$44,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,029.952937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes64c113,685$72,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,850.1516136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes60c106,792$64,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,232.936344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes64c105,388$67,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,939.828258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes61c96,680$59,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,582.3716144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes72c92,816$67,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,710.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c82,312$51,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,881.4529846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No37c79,857$29,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,387.538040%32 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes59c76,865$45,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,235.552832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Yes62c75,700$46,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,843.671643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No37c65,359$24,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,282.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes63c56,143$35,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,773.041369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab5b…316cbacked Yes63c50,267$31,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,407.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No41c50,000$20,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,50011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8b2…0945backed No0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8379…ed71backed No37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,499.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No38c49,999$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.6710040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No37c49,228$18,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,093.946541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No36c47,100$16,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,955.87128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Yes62c47,061$29,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,890.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No36c46,800$16,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,847.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Yes75c46,078$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,577.95850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes63c45,387$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,887.3110736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No40c45,306$18,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,122.33548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked No39c42,435$16,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,549.632330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No37c42,090$15,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,514.3215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No37c41,259$15,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,260.612030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No39c40,614$15,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,839.561330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No37c40,153$14,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,856.7926645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed No38c40,000$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No38c39,336$14,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,831.022433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No37c36,763$13,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,4808938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2227…57eabacked Yes62c36,401$22,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,9312100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+267.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c35,636$21,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,824.21,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Yes62c35,000$21,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,200650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No40c33,272$13,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,159.1239743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No25c33,128$8,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,243.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes79c32,779$25,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,009.93348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No22c32,542$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,087.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No39c32,472$12,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,6641838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes63c31,746$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,746.031060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Yes72c31,423$22,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,951.77366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No37c30,840$11,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,275.12050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes63c29,576$18,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,996.3613245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No38c27,838$10,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4521838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No38c26,710$10,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,025.42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No22c24,700$5,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,485.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Yes66c24,603$16,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,380.11333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-49.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No22c22,800$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0162445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No4c22,577$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.62825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-52.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes50c21,131$10,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,472.992138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No35c21,000$7,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,378.971546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes60c20,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No39c19,974$7,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,789.671030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No38c18,651$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,087.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes61c17,951$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,000.816251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed Yes61c17,843$10,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,958.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No37c17,500$6,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,562.325248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes62c17,460$10,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,722.13452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.035466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c15,813$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.13382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…c507backed Yes64c15,482$9,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,605.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9df…2d62backed Yes74c15,400$11,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0542650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5a…4c99backed Yes64c15,297$9,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,506.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No38c15,211$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,719.345944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes75c14,954$11,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick31cpaid+136.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes64c14,788$9,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,323.752445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No40c14,703$5,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,893.8310648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…2023backed Yes68c14,689$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No38c14,000$5,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,289.835347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes63c13,616$8,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,097.1810845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No38c13,600$5,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,120.35549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No36c13,250$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,770.113447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No36c13,250$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7704346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c13,163$5,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.9146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes61c12,843$7,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,013.67850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No36c12,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.936643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes66c11,800$7,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0364477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes69c11,718$8,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.954866.7%32 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No38c11,232$4,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,268.162334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed Yes79c11,070$8,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.21435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes67c11,030$7,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.5258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No36c10,977$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.724323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No37c10,737$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.