TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fa8…c667

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
193
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT6435.9%23 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.63
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+881.9%+$7,605.97
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+354.3%+$630.74
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,589.86
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.98
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$945Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$945.22
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$5,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,531.91
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.77
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,852Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,852.42
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$171.01
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$1,731.74
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.13
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$243.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+220.7%+$756.97
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.51
LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+83%+$277.99
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,805.01
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,694Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$4,840.4
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.29
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,494.53
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$320.55
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$2,258.98
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$492.96
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.43
Bulls vs. Spursbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.95
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+102%+$202
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.22
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$1,071.42
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.61
Spread: Knicks (-21.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.94
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+485.4%+$994.98
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.95
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,388.3
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,452.43
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.39
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.04
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$711
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$1,013.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$255
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.77
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.71
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.78
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.11
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+154.2%+$546
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$433.98
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+285.7%+$121.97
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$719.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.13
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,378.52
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$39.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.1
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$977.97
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.99
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.37
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,839.98
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,339.4
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,526Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,526.09
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,374.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$78.01
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3,630
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.91
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46,856Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$28,843.67
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,967Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,966.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$792Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$1,620.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45,654Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+184.8%+$84,354.95
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+174%+$5,695.91
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+101%+$133.09
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$103.87
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.1%+$3,376
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,758.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31,876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$12,924.37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$1,144.44
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$505.8
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.33
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.91
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.28
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+44%+$29.43
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+212.3%+$67.96
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,500.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+145.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+637.4%+$1,309.89
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.29
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,008.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,194.15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.