TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,840,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,840,343 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefbc…f9a2backed No44c1,677,889$731,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,045.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes58c500,000$289,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,499.956358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Yes56c211,974$118,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,336.073452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes58c200,000$115,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,0002941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed No42c188,483$79,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,162.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes57c116,279$66,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,999.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No0c90,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes57c80,518$45,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,622.875945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c75,962$42,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,392.243,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed No42c63,961$26,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,679.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c52,919$30,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,281.341,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c50,319$28,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,454.7175142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes57c50,077$28,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,533.12373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes58c43,525$25,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,491.066465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No41c40,597$16,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,644.771241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c36,192$20,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,955.5316652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Yes58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,6004938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No42c29,000$12,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,1803250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes58c23,594$13,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,973.0317251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes53c22,770$12,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,702.2553645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes58c21,894$12,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,151.5969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Yes58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes57c18,888$10,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,121.843063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.8wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+50.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No41c18,313$7,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,508.334456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Yes58c11,384$6,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cef…ce24backed Yes58c10,371$6,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2008752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c9,541$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.382,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes57c9,000$5,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.9910445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes58c8,000$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3604650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes63c7,586$4,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.151957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes57c6,345$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.541,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c6,120$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.933945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes57c6,062$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.682951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5801421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No44c5,682$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5002552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes58c5,000$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.056058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85033244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes58c4,719$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.982040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes62c4,008$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.0434144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Yes61c3,934$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.431546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No14c3,925$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.465056%28 W · 22 L+8.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes71c3,522$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed Yes59c3,364$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes58c3,360$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.321250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes58c3,359$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes58c3,333$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.864351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Yes78c3,288$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No11c2,959$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.4813139.7%52 W · 79 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes79c2,855$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c2,777$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.4938748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No20c2,641$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.661,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.5814157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No36c2,606$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.4462452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes58c2,575$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.357254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No46c2,415$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c2,200$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes63c2,063$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.495851.7%30 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8602962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8409048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No30c2,000$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8715847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes62c1,944$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.5434547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes53c1,850$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.144647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.143961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes55c1,700$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7684436.4%16 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes58c1,518$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.451266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3115540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No15c1,169$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2814315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes60c1,123$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9656951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes57c1,057$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.563066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes62c1,010$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.624050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3803050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No36c957.45$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2914734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c956.28$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.8548146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes64c934$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.241752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes61c901.64$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.6438055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.075942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes58c851$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.421936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No22c824.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No22c824.97$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.24633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-36.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.654161%25 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a49…8786backed Yes71c768$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No39c765.5$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.545440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes58c715.15$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8217652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes59c696.91$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7331145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ff…2df5backed Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes54c655.07$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.071050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes59c652.97$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9612157.9%70 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes61c652$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3434342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes76c646$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2523842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d33…3b2dbacked Yes67c643.28$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.28955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Yes57c605$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2594535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2585455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22256547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.