TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8fd0…3373

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,131.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$561.83
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,515.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177.68
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$771.43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,375
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$30.55
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$491.39
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Wales win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$2,122.07
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$970.87
Will SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.22
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$1,447.47
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$602.02
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,949.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,834.37
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$288.69
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$280.36
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$638.13
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$358.98
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,408.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,340
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,942.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,920Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$9,792.54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,020.29
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$3,678.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$768.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+36%+$1,007.85
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$772.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$2,084.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+199.8%+$2,198.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,300.54
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,076.84
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,999.34
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,700
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,222
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+293.8%+$8,814.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$631.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$2,255.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,300
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+118%+$2,360.94
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$1,065.37
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$633.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$554.79
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$294.58
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$833.33
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.3
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,361.23
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+158.5%+$1,980.85
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$3,466.99
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51%+$866.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+406.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+406.7%+$2,033.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.