Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf597a7ccd59d65c63b97c2d52509e0f4ffe2bf470019a19d65fc32f7b6466f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 32c | 24,402$7,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,594.83 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 16,160$10,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,871.91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 6,889$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.5 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 5,846$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.42 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 4,777$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.56 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 3,545$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.01 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 68c | 2,500$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 1,788$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.84 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 67c | 1,693$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 68c | 1,275$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 1,117$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.36 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 1,083$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.7 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 924.73$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.95 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 33c | 901.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 29c | 856.55$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 66c | 819.04$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 44c | 810$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed No | 68c | 663.39$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 65c | 585$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 28c | 550.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.14 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 33c | 543.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.98 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 71c | 507.6$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 32c | 506.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…dc0fbacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 60c | 431.8$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.59 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 350.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 62c | 292$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 23c | 290.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 73c | 274.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 30c | 236$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 69c | 227.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 33c | 215.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 68c | 175$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 68c | 175$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 72c | 174.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 53c | 155.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 42c | 153.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 68c | 149.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 24c | 135$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 131.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 74c | 117.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 33c | 115$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 113.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 68c | 109$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 67c | 101$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 33c | 100.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 51c | 98.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Yes | 34c | 94.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 45c | 88.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 27c | 86.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 81.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 24c | 75.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb4…db25backed Yes | 70c | 71.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed No | 49c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 28c | 67.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 47c | 63.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 68c | 62.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 68c | 62.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed No | 68c | 61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…1f95backed Yes | 33c | 60.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 66c | 60.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.