TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f8a…f0b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$74.97
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$67.81
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.74
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$224.62
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$416.5
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,752Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$615.7
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+166.5%+$1,699.19
Will CF América win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.88
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.04
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$614.98
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.02
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.49
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$351.32
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$586.03
Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$473.7
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$367.72
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.68
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,259.06
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69%+$269.4
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.76
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$390.08
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.17
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$545.9
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$340.76
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,028.36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$920.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.23
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.84
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+400%+$925.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,511Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$2,566.71
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.92
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$111.05
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$644.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.06
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$173.26
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$51.06
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$158.56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$502
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$260.2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.88
Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$45.24
Will Tunisia win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$230.36
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$192.28
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mauritania win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.5
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$763.64
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+59%+$236.15
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+276.3%+$690.87
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$560
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$197.65
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,310.89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,259.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$767Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$767.37
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.96
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.9
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.64
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.7
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$94.61
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$133.82
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$282.48
Will RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.86
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 21 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$1,395.69
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$583Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$517.07
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.43
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,082Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+70%+$2,156.7
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.81
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+443.2%+$2,216.16
Will New York City FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
New York City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.74
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$412.98
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$231.5
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Charlotte FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$332.98
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$748.21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.68
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.44
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.4
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,540.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.93
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$639.93
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.24
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$531
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+457.9%+$228.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$728
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$709.09
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
All 18 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,468.48
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,437
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$6,236.9
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.41
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$696.82
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$161.42
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$90.26
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.28
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,605.19
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.44
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,198.54
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$460.03
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,921.93
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.66
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.96
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$246.49
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$320
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$533.33
Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,998.12
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$969.48
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.55
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.42
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$866.28
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$703.26
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.41
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$198.85
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$48
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$231.94
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.52
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.64
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$372.46
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$158.58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$575.99
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$205.87
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$543.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+56.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$192.52
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$23.59
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
Busan: Ilya Ivashka vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.83
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.