TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,607
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,607 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes45c40,455$18,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,213.6118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c28,195$15,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,069.7719952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No56c12,814$7,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,224.867950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes47c8,444$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,444.1410846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed No53c5,366$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8445050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c5,060$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,702.682,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes47c4,304$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.117049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No55c3,570$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.635736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c3,229$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.61,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes43c1,939$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.7314540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes48c1,868$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.1950746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes51c1,344$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.588447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No54c1,001$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.297959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No55c978.51$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.361,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.382560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes43c930.21$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.2227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes46c782.61$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No4c758.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.665,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes44c681.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No18c616.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.089229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No8c581.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No47c484.83$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No55c315.07$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.853,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No6c250$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3848547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes47c247.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.448153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes53c245$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.31,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7712439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c202.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.631,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes53c197$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.591,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes52c194.62$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.612,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c184.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.681,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No6c182.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0523542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No57c176.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Yes44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847748.1%37 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes43c147.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0933266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.361050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Yes47c97.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+67%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.244454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No56c85.48$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4410847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No14c83.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.338149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No39c79.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9741145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes46c78.26$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.266838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.743762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No35c71.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6825044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed No56c70.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes43c69.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.751,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes44c67.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8478756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No54c65.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.431,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…d892backed Yes46c64.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes43c63.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4116534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Yes49c61.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7173…7a4cbacked Yes49c61.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9114844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c54.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4541256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes45c50.41$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.733969.2%27 W · 12 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed No54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No53c49.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No52c49.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.729053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No52c49.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6526745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes44c48.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.185648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5138861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No47c42.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.817560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741687.5%14 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No29c37.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7513248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes42c35.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes46c32.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.626762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Yes48c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.763100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No52c30.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.725251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad02…221abacked Yes45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+72.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2f…4520backed Yes47c29.79$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8513062.3%81 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes43c23.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3528665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ef…8b93backed Yes47c23.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked No52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.