TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e88…bd30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
566
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 104 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$33.6
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the announcers say "Vertical" or "Verticality" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.4
Will the announcers say "Maradona" or "Pelé" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+291.5%+$2,851.82
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$276.22
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.4
Will the announcers say "Soccer" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the announcers say "Goal" 75+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$24.8
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$7.2
Will the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.98
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.73
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.96
Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$38.05
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42%+$12.15
Showing 25 of 104 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.3
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$29.12
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.6
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT7656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Fluminense FC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.1
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$62.7
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.49
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5523.6%13 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+51.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.6
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.21
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.12
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.32
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.77
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$29.56
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$321.81
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+289.2%+$815.14
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$151.11
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$110.4
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$384.78
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$66
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.89
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33.28
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT4856.3%27 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Will Trump say "Aluminum" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 4+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$47.2
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$30.5
Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Trump say "Hottest" during ballroom dinner on October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$37.6
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.7
Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.84
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+81.2%+$22.4
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$19.3
Will Donald Trump issue 14–16 executive orders in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+790.1%+$181.5
Will Donald Trump issue 8–10 executive orders in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+62.5%+$65.12
Will Donald Trump issue 15-19 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.45
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.19
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.6
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.06
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+107.3%+$103.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+290.4%+$96.69
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.29
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Inter Miami (To Advance) backed Inter Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Borussia Dortmund win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.9
Will Palmeiras beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+186.9%+$91.2
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$40.5
Will Flamengo win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$124.1
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Botafogo beat Seattle Sounders?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Palmeiras beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$22.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.7
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.4%+$15.7
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$48.8
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$15.1
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$74.7
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$25.45
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+154.5%+$89.25
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
ChatGPT Outage by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.39
ChatGPT Outage by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$46.94
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+171.6%+$63.18
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+86.7%+$27.86
ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+103.4%+$61
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+287.5%+$38.15
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$119.66
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$106.64
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.18
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.39
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+192.9%+$167.5
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$78.1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$20.64
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$64.85
Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Will Trump say "Border" or "Tariff" 5+ times during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56.92
Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.59
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$39
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Egypt summit?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Trump say "Houthi" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump say "Genocide" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$34.3
Will Trump say "Tariff" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+116.1%+$53.72
Will Trump say "Midnight Hammer" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.3
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Donald Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$47.4
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+223.3%+$63.54
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.9
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$51.2
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$93
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.68
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.97
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+225.6%+$24.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Will Hungary record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Spain record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26.6
Will Kazakhstan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+83.8%+$77.5
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+129.1%+$79.83
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.2
Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$76.58
Will South Korea win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Loic Meillard (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+558.6%+$77.23
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$98.5
Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.41
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.89
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.42
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.59
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will Powell say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$7.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$20
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Dictator" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
All 8 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-64.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+37%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$94.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.5
LoL: Japan vs T1 (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.2%+$22.1
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.