Venezuela · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb93f4427fe98607b6eb6ac2a4f23908b18b6bcff15f9bac752b76b3d9c4d2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 78c | 2,707$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 15c | 1,981$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 75c | 931.99$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 2c | 887.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 25c | 803.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 74c | 769.95$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Yes | 25c | 759.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 20c | 699.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…34c0backed Yes | 23c | 697.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…53bcbacked Yes | 4c | 650$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…5097backed Yes | 24c | 619.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b0f6backed Yes | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed Yes | 24c | 425.46$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…1c60backed Yes | 72c | 415.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…6bbdbacked Yes | 14c | 399.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…19d4backed Yes | 21c | 393.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 79c | 355.36$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 24c | 347.81$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked No | 75c | 318.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…df5cbacked No | 59c | 310$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…3f4bbacked Yes | 18c | 304.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb41…5b10backed No | 73c | 299.96$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 77c | 281.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 77c | 269.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 4c | 239.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +977.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 80c | 216.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 28c | 214.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 20c | 208.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 23c | 199.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1,596.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…0cf6backed Yes | 29c | 197.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…c8f8backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 14c | 172.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…355dbacked No | 75c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 77c | 118.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…455cbacked Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…16d4backed Yes | 35c | 101.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4deb…0ab4backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…72b9backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 27c | 92.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…88ecbacked Yes | 23c | 87.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 19c | 83.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9b…c6f4backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 21c | 82.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 22c | 80.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 23c | 70.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…1993backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 24c | 65.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…62c3backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…4af0backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…1f8cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…c556backed Yes | 20c | 54.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 26c | 53.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…3bdebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 22c | 46.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 35c | 45.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…d984backed No | 70c | 45.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…eaf7backed Yes | 31c | 44.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 34c | 44.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…adfebacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…7e63backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 71c | 28.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed No | 76c | 26.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 73c | 26.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0350…f978backed No | 77c | 25.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc720…8f88backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked No | 74c | 13.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cilia" or "Flores" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" or "drone" or "helicopter" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "communist" or "communism" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.