TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6636…bf37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$21.27
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$35.44
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.93
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$902.54
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$82.5 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.86
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$652Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$367.04
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$191.75
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,715.8%+$11,459.9
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$886.32
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.7
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,717.58
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.41
Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$496.43
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$313.74
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.69
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$234.23
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$378
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+182.8%+$336.75
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.36
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.89
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$734.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$582.05
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$432.08
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$116.7
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$116.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,203.67
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,566.87
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Norwich City FC vs. Walsall FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$245
West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$213
Swansea City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$200.77
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$198.45
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$151.07
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$311.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$99.12
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+130.1%+$14.34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+206.2%+$402.55
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+124.7%+$444
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$164.5
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will the US strike Syria next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$113.6
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,008.06
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$104.32
Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$62.44
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.65
Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$110.23
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$155.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid+21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+900%+$891
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$733.28
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$236.25
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$248.31
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,191.52
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,553.87
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74.2
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$244
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50.84
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+222.6%+$207
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$36.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-86.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$660.82
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.77
Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.32
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$103
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Will Good Job Nicky win Sing for Greece 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.61
Will Marseaux win Sing for Greece 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.28
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Will Qatar finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
England vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$220
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+40.9%+$120.7
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$290.02
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$287.61
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$230.98
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.6%+$68.8
Will Donald Trump say "Iran" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$179.99
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$173.44
Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$176.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick27cpaid+56.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$2,730
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$589.38
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+70.5%+$109.14
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,736Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+171.8%+$2,982.62
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked LIU Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.49
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,097.34
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+523%+$5,446.91
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280.55
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$176.04
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.62
Panathinaikos vs. Virtus Bolognabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.6
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$176.4
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$78.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$108
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$14.45
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$81.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+400%+$46.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$96.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$231.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$276.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.