TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,458,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,358,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,458,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c9,736$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.171478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3401…e981backed Yes4c7,890$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6e…4131backed Yes1c6,277$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x627d…a51abacked Yes2c6,273$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes1c6,022$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c5,775$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes1c5,219$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.32119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-86.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…991dbacked Yes4c4,887$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a4…b504backed Yes5c4,717$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5a…500bbacked Yes5c4,716$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…3a80backed Yes3c4,517$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694f…da6ebacked Yes4c4,486$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8757…0795backed Yes4c4,443$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a9…836ebacked Yes4c4,407$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aa0…de82backed Yes4c4,388$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes1c4,373$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.58150%0 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e9…0d44backed Yes4c4,346$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6338…efd9backed Yes4c4,176$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed30…3871backed Yes1c4,136$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…ebffbacked Yes4c4,128$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6a…fa21backed Yes4c4,102$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a4a…cfdbbacked Yes2c4,066$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2548…f788backed Yes1c4,059$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6d…4102backed Yes4c4,000$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5186…4f97backed Yes4c3,984$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c3e…585ebacked Yes4c3,979$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e1…10a9backed Yes4c3,908$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669d…6639backed Yes4c3,815$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf514…311ebacked Yes4c3,804$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd944…fe60backed Yes3c3,682$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes1c3,453$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.475030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7696…84b3backed Yes3c3,170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34d…e864backed Yes5c3,004$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd6…7322backed Yes5c2,969$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10b…ef6cbacked Yes4c2,955$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fe2…0f84backed Yes5c2,855$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…b406backed Yes5c2,803$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf631…3f87backed Yes3c2,758$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2f…b57bbacked Yes4c2,639$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa444…4aa0backed Yes4c2,636$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0c…1731backed Yes3c2,613$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes2c2,606$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.289335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a1…901cbacked Yes4c2,557$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc8…f056backed Yes3c2,510$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3c…2f42backed Yes4c2,507$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x106e…aa20backed Yes4c2,474$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa88f…ed3dbacked Yes1c2,473$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0b…7490backed Yes5c2,452$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8915…4821backed Yes4c2,436$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0055…dd37backed Yes5c2,355$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941c…b24ebacked Yes4c2,277$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0a…4c19backed Yes3c2,247$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f7…d7a6backed Yes1c2,241$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb801…0755backed Yes3c2,236$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7010…5520backed Yes1c2,236$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc03c…a23cbacked Yes4c2,234$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…7f22backed Yes5c2,233$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18c…dc9cbacked Yes5c2,212$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab9…d322backed Yes4c2,196$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4b…0c72backed Yes2c2,191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3b6…696fbacked Yes2c2,191$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a34…7721backed Yes4c2,173$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x388b…fe54backed Yes4c2,173$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5443…3c5abacked Yes4c2,173$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…e999backed Yes1c2,129$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa23…71abbacked Yes4c2,126$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c2…0cf7backed Yes4c2,116$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7945…2651backed Yes4c2,115$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb783…cd20backed Yes4c2,104$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9b…ce81backed Yes4c2,102$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a25…792dbacked Yes4c2,099$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fb…7a83backed Yes4c2,099$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd4f…5aedbacked Yes2c2,085$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e47…6606backed Yes3c2,080$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…353bbacked Yes4c2,079$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes5c2,069$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48d…464abacked Yes4c2,069$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622a…a2eebacked Yes4c2,069$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b3…6915backed Yes4c2,068$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f2…d799backed Yes1c2,068$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ae…0876backed Yes4c2,059$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a20…13bfbacked Yes4c2,051$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe82…c594backed Yes4c2,051$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcc…8df8backed Yes4c2,046$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb28e…3371backed Yes4c2,046$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x653b…a40abacked Yes5c2,044$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5970…8ecfbacked Yes4c2,041$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c1…6796backed Yes1c2,018$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79b1…6d2ebacked Yes1c2,018$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…e4c1backed Yes4c2,003$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe19…962fbacked Yes3c1,992$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2672…91a6backed Yes3c1,992$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes1c1,987$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.092425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…4d74backed Yes3c1,981$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf40…c94bbacked Yes4c1,963$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf073…8a82backed Yes5c1,955$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a09…7a2bbacked Yes4c1,945$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01fb…a9b1backed Yes4c1,896$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes1c1,892$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+134.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97d…4c58backed Yes4c1,881$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.