TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,751

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c11,775$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.82323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e2…6078backed Yes18c10,674$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Yes23c9,708$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.24120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes21c8,665$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.231154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+70.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c5,950$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.6710529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes17c3,512$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.233013.3%4 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick25cpaid+21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No78c3,380$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.95738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cf…a390backed Yes16c3,356$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes13c3,314$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4203836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c02…89e4backed Yes25c2,435$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes14c2,082$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.546144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa757…d062backed Yes15c2,000$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+251.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes15c1,994$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.272634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes12c1,938$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.962030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes13c1,933$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.076334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x594e…1c11backed Yes18c1,566$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.043135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c67…4a19backed Yes17c1,262$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed Yes20c1,147$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.491612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-79.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes10c1,076$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.62759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf383…c49fbacked Yes16c1,029$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160234.3%1 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130267.7%2 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-88.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36fd…c834backed Yes19c998.17$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x413b…b488backed Yes16c958.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes16c878$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.384434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes11c733.08$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.979335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No75c715.68$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7222927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes15c708.67$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.067416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes3c697$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.915131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes14c661.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.228122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c84…2c8fbacked Yes16c632.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes20c614.01$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3310235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce55…1796backed Yes12c592$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+115.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdb5…e36ebacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+88.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes16c525$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8470%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dcb…e452backed Yes25c520$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No77c510.23$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes23c504.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.154022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621f…7293backed Yes18c499.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes22c489.79$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.051338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7630…cfb0backed Yes21c484.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes17c482.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.523348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes17c482.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.55030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…0edcbacked Yes14c430.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8eb…8473backed Yes15c429.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+125.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc3…70ddbacked Yes27c413.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes12c410.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.871811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-72.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes14c400.36$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.458739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccf…f9d0backed Yes16c399.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb261…7211backed Yes11c399.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+272%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e2…61e5backed Yes25c397.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Yes26c391.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa3e…3b79backed Yes17c391.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.77922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-61.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes14c388.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.714012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbea2…2d33backed No78c374.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.981090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe709…9d39backed Yes17c374.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-62.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c7…b70bbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-41.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Yes11c329.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.334835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e81…78ffbacked Yes16c320$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes15c312.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f3…9582backed Yes19c309.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid+22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ccb…3135backed Yes21c281.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes17c270$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.852025%5 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No78c261$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.42650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb782…7855backed Yes16c240$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes17c217.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.64150%0 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes22c208.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x487d…6813backed Yes24c207.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes10c200.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0715119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0953…b819backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf709…23a3backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+69.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes16c191.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.72568%17 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes17c181.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.697549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes9c179.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.65933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd869…cd60backed Yes18c177.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No80c174.57$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c8…39c4backed Yes14c168.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8a…5148backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0399…345bbacked Yes13c156.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c152.87$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.717740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd0…a134backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-79.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca06…f65bbacked Yes14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa143…5b6fbacked Yes24c145.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3570%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x334e…2f17backed Yes14c140.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No75c130.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5212835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked No78c124$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes19c117.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.576544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae1e…dba2backed Yes18c112.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes12c111.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4310630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f24…73bbbacked Yes22c111.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7c…c766backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes16c105$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.852653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ff0…0a82backed Yes14c103.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ce…5845backed Yes25c103.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes10c102.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick17cpaid+62.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.