Music · resolved market
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd84858f62672e3bde4cb7e5e59b3952673c75d0805d974c4c519700330b33dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 11,775$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 18c | 10,674$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 23c | 9,708$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes | 21c | 8,665$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 5,950$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.67 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 17c | 3,512$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.23 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 78c | 3,380$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.9 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37cf…a390backed Yes | 16c | 3,356$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked Yes | 13c | 3,314$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…89e4backed Yes | 25c | 2,435$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 14c | 2,082$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…d062backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes | 15c | 1,994$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,938$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,933$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 18c | 1,566$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…4a19backed Yes | 17c | 1,262$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0404…8353backed Yes | 20c | 1,147$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.49 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,076$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,029$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 19c | 998.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…b488backed Yes | 16c | 958.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 16c | 878$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 11c | 733.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 75c | 715.68$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.72 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 15c | 708.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 697$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 14c | 661.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…2c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 632.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 20c | 614.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 12c | 592$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb5…e36ebacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…0c70backed Yes | 16c | 525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…e452backed Yes | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 77c | 510.23$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 23c | 504.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x621f…7293backed Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 22c | 489.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…cfb0backed Yes | 21c | 484.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 482.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 17c | 482.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…0edcbacked Yes | 14c | 430.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed Yes | 15c | 429.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…70ddbacked Yes | 27c | 413.09$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 12c | 410.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 14c | 400.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…f9d0backed Yes | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 11c | 399.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…61e5backed Yes | 25c | 397.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 26c | 391.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3e…3b79backed Yes | 17c | 391.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 14c | 388.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 78c | 374.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 17c | 374.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b70bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 11c | 329.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…78ffbacked Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…a7a5backed Yes | 15c | 312.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…9582backed Yes | 19c | 309.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccb…3135backed Yes | 21c | 281.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Yes | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 78c | 261$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…7855backed Yes | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 17c | 217.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 22c | 208.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x487d…6813backed Yes | 24c | 207.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 10c | 200.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0953…b819backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…23a3backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 16c | 191.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 17c | 181.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 9c | 179.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…cd60backed Yes | 18c | 177.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 80c | 174.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…39c4backed Yes | 14c | 168.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…5148backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0399…345bbacked Yes | 13c | 156.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 152.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…a134backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…f65bbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…5b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 145.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334e…2f17backed Yes | 14c | 140.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…2256backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 75c | 130.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked No | 78c | 124$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 19c | 117.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…dba2backed Yes | 18c | 112.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 12c | 111.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…73bbbacked Yes | 22c | 111.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c766backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff0…0a82backed Yes | 14c | 103.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…5845backed Yes | 25c | 103.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 102.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.