TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xca06…f65b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$8.56
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$12.65
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.72
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.47
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+27%+$13.49
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkovabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$28.87
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$8.46
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$43.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.